Results 1 - 10
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209
The neural basis of financial risk taking.
- Neuron,
, 2005
"... Summary Investors systematically deviate from rationality when making financial decisions, yet the mechanisms responsible for these deviations have not been identified. Using event-related fMRI, we examined whether anticipatory neural activity would predict optimal and suboptimal choices in a finan ..."
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Cited by 98 (6 self)
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Summary Investors systematically deviate from rationality when making financial decisions, yet the mechanisms responsible for these deviations have not been identified. Using event-related fMRI, we examined whether anticipatory neural activity would predict optimal and suboptimal choices in a financial decision-making task. We characterized two types of deviations from the optimal investment strategy of a rational risk-neutral agent as risk-seeking mistakes and risk-aversion mistakes. Nucleus accumbens activation preceded risky choices as well as risk-seeking mistakes, while anterior insula activation preceded riskless choices as well as risk-aversion mistakes. These findings suggest that distinct neural circuits linked to anticipatory affect promote different types of financial choices and indicate that excessive activation of these circuits may lead to investing mistakes. Thus, consideration of anticipatory neural mechanisms may add predictive power to the rational actor model of economic decision making.
Reconciling efficient markets with behavioral finance: The adaptive markets hypothesis
- JOURNAL OF INVESTMENT CONSULTING
, 2005
"... The battle between proponents of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis and champions of behavioral finance has never been more pitched, and little consensus exists as to which side is winning or the implications for investment management and consulting. In this article, I review the case for and against ..."
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Cited by 44 (7 self)
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The battle between proponents of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis and champions of behavioral finance has never been more pitched, and little consensus exists as to which side is winning or the implications for investment management and consulting. In this article, I review the case for and against the Efficient Markets Hypothesis and describe a new framework—the Adaptive Markets Hypothesis—in which the traditional models of modern financial economics can coexist alongside behavioral models in an intellectually consistent manner. Based on evolutionary principles, the Adaptive Markets Hypothesis implies that the degree of market efficiency is related to environmental factors characterizing market ecology such as the number of competitors in the market, the magnitude of profit opportunities available, and the adaptability of the market participants. Many of the examples that behavioralists cite as violations of rationality that are inconsistent with market efficiency—loss aversion, overconfidence, overreaction, mental accounting, and other behavioral biases—are, in fact, consistent with an evolutionary model of individuals adapting to a changing environment via simple heuristics. Despite the qualitative nature of this new paradigm, I show that the Adaptive Markets Hypothesis yields a number of surprisingly concrete applications for both investment managers and consultants.
Fear and greed in financial markets: a clinical study of day-traders
- National Bureau of Economic Research. Copyright
, 2005
"... We investigate several possible links between psychological factors and trading performance in a sample of 80 anonymous day-traders. Using daily emotional-state surveys over a fiveweek period as well as personality inventory surveys, we construct measures of personality traits and emotional states f ..."
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Cited by 36 (2 self)
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We investigate several possible links between psychological factors and trading performance in a sample of 80 anonymous day-traders. Using daily emotional-state surveys over a fiveweek period as well as personality inventory surveys, we construct measures of personality traits and emotional states for each subject and correlate these measures with daily normalized profits-and-losses records. We find that subjects whose emotional reaction to monetary gains and losses was more intense on both the positive and negative side exhibited significantly worse trading performance. Psychological traits derived from a standardized personality inventory survey do not reveal any specific “trader personality profile”, raising the possibility that trading skills may not necessarily be innate, and that different personality types may be able to perform trading functions equally well after proper instruction and practice.
What Can Behavioral Economics Teach Us About Privacy?
, 2006
"... Privacy decision making can be surprising or even appear contradictory: we feel entitled to protection of information about ourselves that we do not control, yet willingly trade away the same information for small rewards; we worry about privacy invasions of little significance, yet overlook those t ..."
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Cited by 33 (2 self)
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Privacy decision making can be surprising or even appear contradictory: we feel entitled to protection of information about ourselves that we do not control, yet willingly trade away the same information for small rewards; we worry about privacy invasions of little significance, yet overlook those that may cause significant damages. Dichotomies between attitudes and behaviors, inconsistencies in discounting future costs or rewards, and other systematic behavioral biases have long been studied in the psychology and behavioral economics literatures. In this paper we draw from those literatures to discuss the role of uncertainty, ambiguity, and behavioral biases in privacy decision making.
2008] “The Brain as a Hierarchical Organization
- American Economic Review
"... We model the brain as a multi-agent organization. Based on recent neuroscience evidence, we assume that different systems of the brain have different time-horizons and different access to information. Introducing asymmetric information as a restriction on optimal choices generates endogenous constra ..."
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Cited by 32 (7 self)
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We model the brain as a multi-agent organization. Based on recent neuroscience evidence, we assume that different systems of the brain have different time-horizons and different access to information. Introducing asymmetric information as a restriction on optimal choices generates endogenous constraints in decision-making. In this game played between brain systems, we show the optimality of a self-disciplining rule of the type “work more today if you want to consume more today ” and discuss its behavioral implications for the distribution of consumption over the life-cycle. We also argue that our split-self theory provides “micro-microfoundations ” for discounting and offer testable implications that depart from traditional models with no conflict and exogenous discounting. Last, we analyze a variant in which the agent has salient incentives or biased motivations. The previous rule is then replaced by a simple, non-intrusive precept of the type “consume what you want, just don’t abuse”.
Neuroeconomic foundations of trust and social preferences: Initial evidence
- American Economic Review
, 2005
"... Neuroeconomics merges methods from neuroscience and economics to better understand how the human brain generates decisions in economic and social contexts. Neuroeconomics is part of the general quest for microfoundations—in this case, the microfoundation of individual decision-making in social conte ..."
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Cited by 26 (2 self)
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Neuroeconomics merges methods from neuroscience and economics to better understand how the human brain generates decisions in economic and social contexts. Neuroeconomics is part of the general quest for microfoundations—in this case, the microfoundation of individual decision-making in social contexts. The economic model of individual decision-making is based on three concepts: the action set, preferences, and beliefs. Economists assume that an individual will choose his preferred action for a given set of available actions and a given belief about the states of the world and the other players ’ actions. Neuroeconomics provides a microfoundation for individual beliefs, preferences, and behavior; it does so by examining the brain processes associated with the formation of beliefs, the perception of the action set, and the actual choice. Moreover, since the set of available actions can be framed in different ways and different frames of the same action set sometimes elicit different behaviors, neuroeconomics may also contribute to a deeper understanding of framing effects. This paper discusses recent neuroeconomic evidence related to other-regarding (nonselfish) behaviors and the decision to trust in other people’s nonselfish behavior. As we will show, this evidence supports the view that people derive nonpecuniary utility (i) from mutual cooperation in social dilemma (SD) games and (ii) from punishing unfair behavior in these games. Thus, mutual cooperation that takes place despite strong free-riding incentives, and the punishment of free riders in SD games is not irrational, but better understood as rational behavior of people with corresponding social preferences. Finally, we report the results of a recent study that examines the impact of the neuropeptide oxytocin (OT) on trusting and trustworthy behavior in a sequential SD. Animal studies have identified OT as a hormone that induces
Neural mechanisms of the influence of popularity on adolescent ratings of music.
- Neuroimage,
, 2010
"... It is well-known that social influences affect consumption decisions. We used functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) to elucidate the neural mechanisms associated with social influence with regard to a common consumer good: music. Our study population was adolescents, age 12-17. Music is a co ..."
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Cited by 24 (3 self)
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It is well-known that social influences affect consumption decisions. We used functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) to elucidate the neural mechanisms associated with social influence with regard to a common consumer good: music. Our study population was adolescents, age 12-17. Music is a common purchase in this age group, and it is widely believed that adolescent behavior is influenced by perceptions of popularity in their reference group. Using 15-s clips of songs from MySpace.com, we obtained behavioral measures of preferences and neurobiological responses to the songs. The data were gathered with, and without, the overall popularity of the song revealed. Song popularity had a significant effect on the participants' likability ratings of the songs. fMRI results showed a strong correlation between the participants' rating and activity in the caudate nucleus, a region previously implicated in reward-driven actions. The tendency to change one's evaluation of a song was positively correlated with activation in the anterior insula and anterior cingulate, two regions that are associated with physiological arousal and negative affective states. Sensitivity to popularity was linked to lower activation levels in the middle temporal gyrus, suggesting a lower depth of musical semantic processing. Our results suggest that a principal mechanism whereby popularity ratings affect consumer choice is through the anxiety generated by the mismatch between one's own preferences and others'. This mismatch anxiety motivates people to switch their choices in the direction of the consensus. Our data suggest that this is a major force behind the conformity observed in music tastes in some teenagers.
Experimental designs for identifying causal mechanisms
- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A
, 2012
"... Experimentation is a powerful methodology that enables scientists to empirically establish causal claims. However, one important criticism is that experiments merely provide a black-box view of causality and fail to identify causal mechanisms. Specifically, critics argue that although experiments ca ..."
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Cited by 22 (7 self)
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Experimentation is a powerful methodology that enables scientists to empirically establish causal claims. However, one important criticism is that experiments merely provide a black-box view of causality and fail to identify causal mechanisms. Specifically, critics argue that although experiments can identify average causal effects, they cannot explain the process through which such effects come about. If true, this represents a serious limitation of experimentation, especially for social and medical science research that strive to identify causal mechanisms. In this paper, we consider several different experimental designs that help identify average natural indirect effects. Some of these designs require the perfect manipulation of an intermediate variable, while others can be used even when only imper-fect manipulation is possible. We use recent social science experiments to illustrate the key ideas that underlie each of the proposed designs. Key Words: causal inference, direct and indirect effects, identification, instrumental variables, medi-ation ∗Replication materials for this particle are available online as Imai et al. (2011a). We thank Erin Hartman, Adam Glynn, and Erik Snowberg as well as seminar participants at Columbia University (Political Science), the University of California
Scientific and pragmatic challenges for bridging education and neuroscience
- Educational Researcher
, 2008
"... Educational neuroscience is an emerging effort to integrate neuro-science methods, particularly functional neuroimaging, with behavioral methods to address issues of learning and instruction. This article con-solidates common concerns about connecting education and neuro-science. One set of concerns ..."
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Cited by 22 (0 self)
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Educational neuroscience is an emerging effort to integrate neuro-science methods, particularly functional neuroimaging, with behavioral methods to address issues of learning and instruction. This article con-solidates common concerns about connecting education and neuro-science. One set of concerns is scientific: in-principle differences in methods, data, theory, and philosophy. The other set of concerns is pragmatic: considerations of costs, timing, locus of control, and likely payoffs. The authors first articulate the concerns and then revisit them, reinterpreting them as potential opportunities. They also provide instances of neuroscience findings and methods that are relevant to education. The goal is to offer education researchers a window into contemporary neuroscience to prepare them to think more specifi-cally about the prospects of educational neuroscience.
Theory and Experiment: What Are the Questions
- Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
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