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2012): “Creative Accounting or Creative Destruction? Firm-level Productivity Growth in Chinese Manufacturing
- Journal of Development Economics
"... Funding by SSHRC and CFI/OIT is gratefully acknowledged. The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewe ..."
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Cited by 36 (1 self)
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Funding by SSHRC and CFI/OIT is gratefully acknowledged. The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications.
Exports, export destinations, and skills
- American Economic Review
, 2012
"... This paper explores the links between exports, export destinations and skill utilization by firms. We identify two mechanisms behind these links, which we integrate into a unified theory of export destinations and skills. First, exporting to high-income countries with higher valuation for quality le ..."
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Cited by 10 (0 self)
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This paper explores the links between exports, export destinations and skill utilization by firms. We identify two mechanisms behind these links, which we integrate into a unified theory of export destinations and skills. First, exporting to high-income countries with higher valuation for quality leads to quality upgrades that are skill-intensive (Verhoogen, 2008). Second, exporting in general, and exporting to high-income destinations in particular, requires services such as distribution, transportation, and advertising, activities that are also intensive in skilled labor (Matsuyama, 2007). Both theories suggest a skill-bias in export destinations: firms that export to high-income destinations hire more skills and pay higher wages than firms that export to middle-income countries or that sell domestically. We test the theory using a panel of Argentine manufacturing firms. The data cover the period 1998-2000 and thus span the Brazilian currency devaluation of 1999. We use the exogenous changes in exports and export destinations brought about by this devaluation in a major export partner to identify the causal effect of exporting and of exporting to high-income countries on skill utilization. We find that Argentine firms exporting to high-income countries hired a higher proportion of skilled workers and paid higher average wages than other exporters (to non high-income countries) and domestic firms. Instead, we cannot identify any causal effect of exporting per se on skill utilization.
The Impact of Trade on Organization and Productivity
- Quarterly Journal of Economics
, 2011
"... A …rm’s productivity depends on how production is organized given the level of demand for its product. To capture this mechanism, we develop a theory of an economy where …rms with heterogeneous demands use labor and knowledge to produce. Entrepreneurs decide the number of layers of management and th ..."
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Cited by 10 (2 self)
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A …rm’s productivity depends on how production is organized given the level of demand for its product. To capture this mechanism, we develop a theory of an economy where …rms with heterogeneous demands use labor and knowledge to produce. Entrepreneurs decide the number of layers of management and the knowledge and span of control of each agent. As a result, in the theory, heterogeneity in demand leads to heterogeneity in productivity and other …rms ’ outcomes. We use the theory to analyze the impact of international trade on organization and calibrate the model to the U.S. economy. Our results indicate that, as a result of a bilateral trade liberalization, …rms that export will increase the number of layers of management and will decentralize decisions. The new organization of the average exporter results in higher productivity, although the responses of productivity are heterogeneous across these …rms. In contrast, non-exporters reduce their number of layers, decentralization, and, on average, their productivity. The marginal exporter increases its productivity by about 1 % and its revenue productivity by about 1.8%. 1.
The Financial Resource Curse
, 2013
"... This paper presents a model of financial resource curse, i.e. episodes of abundant access to foreign capital coupled with weak productivity growth. We study a two-sector, tradable and non-tradable, small open economy. The tradable sector is the engine of growth, and productivity growth is increasing ..."
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Cited by 8 (2 self)
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This paper presents a model of financial resource curse, i.e. episodes of abundant access to foreign capital coupled with weak productivity growth. We study a two-sector, tradable and non-tradable, small open economy. The tradable sector is the engine of growth, and productivity growth is increasing in the amount of labor employed by firms in the tradable sector. A period of large capital inflows, triggered by a fall in the interest rate, is associated with a consumption boom. While the increase in tradable consumption is financed through foreign borrowing, the increase in non-tradable consumption requires a shift of productive resources toward the non-tradable sector at the expenses of the tradable sector. The result is stagnant productivity growth. We show that capital controls can be welfare-enhancing and can be used as a second best policy tool to mitigate the misallocation of resources during an episode of financial resource curse.
Factor Intensity, Product Switching, and Productivity: Evidence from Chinese Exporters. Development Working Papers 324, Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano
, 2011
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Reserve Accumulation, Growth and Financial Crises," CEPR Discussion Papers 9224. London: Centre for Economic Policy Research
, 2012
"... We present a model that reproduces two salient facts characterizing the inter-national monetary system: Fast growing emerging countries i) Run current account surpluses, ii) Accumulate international reserves and receive net private inflows. We study a two-sector, tradable and non-tradable, small ope ..."
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Cited by 5 (2 self)
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We present a model that reproduces two salient facts characterizing the inter-national monetary system: Fast growing emerging countries i) Run current account surpluses, ii) Accumulate international reserves and receive net private inflows. We study a two-sector, tradable and non-tradable, small open economy. There is a growth externality in the tradable sector and agents have imperfect access to in-ternational financial markets. By accumulating foreign reserves, the government induces a real exchange rate depreciation and a reallocation of production towards the tradable sector that boosts growth. Financial frictions generate imperfect sub-stitutability between private and public debt flows so that private agents do not perfectly offset the government policy. The possibility of using reserves to pro-vide liquidity during crises amplifies the positive impact of reserve accumulation on growth. The optimal reserve management entails a fast rate of reserve accu-mulation, as well as higher growth and larger current account surpluses compared to the economy with no policy intervention. The model is also consistent with the
Export dynamics and sales at home
, 2011
"... In 2014 all ECB publications feature a motif taken from the €20 banknote. NOTE: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the European Central Bank (ECB). The views expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily refl ect those of the ECB. ..."
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In 2014 all ECB publications feature a motif taken from the €20 banknote. NOTE: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the European Central Bank (ECB). The views expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily refl ect those of the ECB.
What’s Different about New Exporters? Evidence from Chinese Manufacturing Firms*
, 2008
"... This paper analyzes the relationship between the performance and export behavior of Chinese manufacturing firms during the period 1998-2005. It adds to the literature in four main aspects. First, we find strong evidence of a learning-by-exporting effect for domestic manufacturing firms. Second, the ..."
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This paper analyzes the relationship between the performance and export behavior of Chinese manufacturing firms during the period 1998-2005. It adds to the literature in four main aspects. First, we find strong evidence of a learning-by-exporting effect for domestic manufacturing firms. Second, the export behaviors of domestic and foreign firms are systematically different. The Chinese domestic firms self-select into the export market with higher productivity ex ante and show a significant learning-by-exporting effect ex post. Foreign exporters do not show significant higher productivity either ex ante or ex post. Third, both domestic and foreign new exporters exploit the comparative advantage of China’s low labor cost before exporting, and then strengthen this advantage when exporting. In other words, exporting significantly lowers the capital-labor ratio for the new exporters. Fourth, we find that the learning-by-exporting effect for domestic firms is positively related to their absorptive capacity, in addition to the more usual learning channel through exporting to developed markets.
Negative investment in China: financing constraints and restructuring versus growth
- Leverhulme Centre for Research on Globalization and Economic Policy, Research Paper 12/01
"... Abstract This paper addresses a puzzle in China's investment pattern: despite high aggregate investment and remarkable economic growth, negative investment is commonly found at the microeconomic level. Using a large firm-level dataset, we show that private firms divest in order to raise capita ..."
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Abstract This paper addresses a puzzle in China's investment pattern: despite high aggregate investment and remarkable economic growth, negative investment is commonly found at the microeconomic level. Using a large firm-level dataset, we show that private firms divest in order to raise capital. We also find that, owing to over-investment and mis-investment in the past, state-owned firms have had to restructure by getting rid of obsolete capital in the face of increasing competition and hardening budget constraints. Finally, rapid economic growth counterweighs both effects for all types of firms, with a larger impact in the private and foreign sectors. JEL classification: G3; O16; O53 Keywords: Negative investment; Financial constraints; Industrial restructuring; Economic transition; China + Corresponding author: Alessandra Guariglia, Durham Business School, Durham University, Mill Hill Lane, Durham DH1 3LB. . *The authors thank the ESRC for providing financial support for this research (RES-000-22-3140). We are grateful to the participants to the ISIR session at the
Does exporting increase productivity? Evidence from India
"... This paper identifies two separate effects – that of exporting on productivity across firms, and that of starting to export on productivity within firms. It uses detailed panel data from 1990 to 2008 for over 8,000 manufacturing firms in India across 4-digit product categories. The findings show tha ..."
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This paper identifies two separate effects – that of exporting on productivity across firms, and that of starting to export on productivity within firms. It uses detailed panel data from 1990 to 2008 for over 8,000 manufacturing firms in India across 4-digit product categories. The findings show that exporting is associated with a jump in productivity, both within industries and within firms, but that this effect tapers over time. Entry into export markets has a positive effect on firm performance in the very beginning, but there is no evidence of sustained learning-byexporting.