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Term premia and the news (2011)

by Michael D Bauer
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Testable Implications of Affine-Term-Structure Models

by James D. Hamilton, Jing (Cynthia) Wu , 2010
"... Affine-term-structure models have been used to address a wide range of questions in macroeconomics and finance. This paper investigates a number of their testable implications which have not previously been explored. We show that the assumption that certain specified yields are priced without error ..."
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Affine-term-structure models have been used to address a wide range of questions in macroeconomics and finance. This paper investigates a number of their testable implications which have not previously been explored. We show that the assumption that certain specified yields are priced without error is testable, and find that the implied measurement or specification error on other yields exhibits serial correlation in all of the possible formulations investigated here. We further find that the predictions of these models for the average levels of different interest rates are inconsistent with the observed data, and propose a more general specification that is not rejected by the data.
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...s such as measuring risk premia (Duffee, 2002; Cochrane and Piazzesi, 2009), studying the effect of macroeconomic developments on the term structure (Ang and Piazzesi, 2003; Beechey and Wright, 2009; =-=Bauer, 2009-=-; Bekaert, Cho and Moreno, 2010), the role of monetary policy (Ang, Dong and Piazzesi, 2007; Rudebusch and Wu, 2008), explaining the bond-yield “conundrum” of 2004-2005 (Kim and Wright, 2005; Rudebusc...

© notice, is given to the source. Testable Implications of Affine Term Structure Models

by James D. Hamilton, Jing Cynthia Wu, James D. Hamilton, Jing Cynthia Wu, James D. Hamilton, Jing Cynthia Wu , 2011
"... We thank Jonathan Wright and anonymous referees for helpful comments on an earlier draft of this paper. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comm ..."
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We thank Jonathan Wright and anonymous referees for helpful comments on an earlier draft of this paper. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications.
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...s such as measuring risk premia (Duffee, 2002; Cochrane and Piazzesi, 2009), studying the effect of macroeconomic developments on the term structure (Ang and Piazzesi, 2003; Beechey and Wright, 2009; =-=Bauer, 2009-=-), the role of monetary policy (Rudebusch and Wu, 2008), explaining the bond-yield “conundrum” of 2004-2005 (Rudebusch, Swanson and Wu, 2006), inferring market expectations of inflation (Christensen, ...

Extrapolating

by Balter Anne, Schotman Peter, Pelsser Antoon , 2013
"... the term structure of interest rates with parameter uncertainty ..."
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the term structure of interest rates with parameter uncertainty
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