## Assessment and Propagation of Model Uncertainty (1995)

by
David Draper

Citations: | 154 - 0 self |

### BibTeX

@MISC{Draper95assessmentand,

author = {David Draper},

title = {Assessment and Propagation of Model Uncertainty},

year = {1995}

}

### Years of Citing Articles

### OpenURL

### Abstract

this paper I discuss a Bayesian approach to solving this problem that has long been available in principle but is only now becoming routinely feasible, by virtue of recent computational advances, and examine its implementation in examples that involve forecasting the price of oil and estimating the chance of catastrophic failure of the U.S. Space Shuttle.