Eliciting Objective Probabilities via Lottery Insurance Games (1993)


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by Robin Hanson
Venue:Computational Mathematics Laboratory, Rice University
Citations:1 - 1 self

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72 Logarithmic Market Scoring Rules for Modular Combinatorial Information Aggregation – Robin Hanson - 2002
3 The Elicitation of Probabilities- A Review of the Statistical Literature – David Jenkinson - 2005
Probability Elicitation for Agents with Arbitrary Risk Preferences – Nicolas S. Lambert - 2009
© 2004 INFORMS Anchor Levels as a New Tool for the Theory and Measurement of Multiattribute Utility – Peter P. Wakker, Sylvia J. T. Jansen, Anne M. Stiggelbout
[Extended Abstract] – Nicolas Lambert, David M. Pennock, Yoav Shoham
Proper Scoring Rules: Incentives, Stakes and Hedging – Olivier Armantier Y, Nicolas Treich Z - 2009
4 Elicitation and evaluation of statistical forecasts – Nicolas S. Lambert - 2010
On Eliciting Beliefs in Strategic Games 1 – Thomas R. Palfrey, Stephanie W. Wang - 2007
6 Forthcoming in Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Applications – Robert Nau, Ward Edwards, Ralph Miles, Detlof Von Winterfeldt (eds
18 Eliciting Properties of Probability Distributions – Nicolas Lambert, David M. Pennock - 2008
16 De Finetti Was Right: Probability Does Not Exist – Robert F. Nau - 2001
I S T – Thomas R. Palfrey, Stephanie W. Wang - 2007
Howgood Were Those Probability Predictions? The Expected Recommendation Loss (erl) Scoring Rule – David Rosen
Local Proper Scoring Rules – Werner Ehm, Tilmann Gneiting - 2009
Abstract – Joel Predd, Rand Corporation, Daniel Osherson, Robert Seiringer, Vincent Poor, Elliott H. Lieb, Sanjeev Kulkarni - 2007
The Query Complexity of Scoring Rules – Pablo Azar, Silvio Micali - 2012
5th International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, Prague, Czech Republic, 2007 Scoring Rules, Entropy, and Imprecise Probabilities – Robert Nau, Victor Richmond Jose, Robert Winkler
Acknowledgement – Rafael Frongillo, Rafael M. Frongillo, Rafael M. Frongillo, Rafael M. Frongillo - 2013
5 Efficient market making via convex optimization, and a connection to online learning – Jacob Abernethy, Yiling Chen, Jennifer Wortman Vaughan - 2012