We present an extensive empirical comparison of several smoothing techniques in the domain of language modeling, including those described by Jelinek and Mercer (1980), Katz (1987), and Church and Gale (1991). We investigate for the first time how factors such as training data size, corpus (e.g., Brown versus Wall Street Journal), and n-gram order (bigram versus trigram) affect the relative performance of these methods, which we measure through the cross-entropy of test data. In addition, we introduce two novel smoothing techniques, one a variation of Jelinek-Mercer smoothing and one a very simple linear interpolation technique, both of which outperform existing methods. 1

When documents are organized in a large number of topic categories, the categories are often arranged in a hierarchy. The U.S. patent database and Yahoo are two examples.

We propose a new hierarchical Bayesian n-gram model of natural languages. Our model makes use of a generalization of the commonly used Dirichlet distributions called Pitman-Yor processes which produce power-law distributions more closely resembling those in natural languages. We show that an approximation to the hierarchical Pitman-Yor language model recovers the exact formulation of interpolated Kneser-Ney, one of the best smoothing methods for n-gram language models. Experiments verify that our model gives cross entropy results superior to interpolated Kneser-Ney and comparable to modified Kneser-Ney. 1

i Abstract This thesis is concerned with the problem of Blind Source Separation. Specifically we considerthe Independent Component Analysis (ICA) model in which a set of observations are modelled by xt = Ast: (1) where A is an unknown mixing matrix and st is a vector of hidden source components attime t. The ICA problem is to find the sources given only a set of observations. In chapter 1, the blind source separation problem is introduced. In chapter 2 the methodof Ensemble Learning is explained. Chapter 3 applies Ensemble Learning to the ICA model and chapter 4 assesses the use of Ensemble Learning for model selection.Chapters 5-7 apply the Ensemble Learning ICA algorithm to data sets from physics (a medical imaging data set consisting of images of a tooth), biology (data sets from cDNAmicro-arrays) and astrophysics (Planck image separation and galaxy spectra separation).

Since the experiments of Saffran et al. (1996a), there has been a great deal of interest in the question of how statistical regularities in the speech stream might be used by infants to begin to identify individual words. In this work, we use computational modeling to explore the effects of different assumptions the learner might make regarding the nature of words – in particular, how these assumptions affect the kinds of words that are segmented from a corpus of transcribed child-directed speech. We develop several models within a Bayesian ideal observer framework, and use them to examine the consequences of assuming either that words are independent units, or units that help to predict other units. We show through empirical and theoretical results that the assumption of independence causes the learner to undersegment the corpus, with many two- and three-word sequences (e.g. what’s that, do you, in the house) misidentified as individual words. In contrast, when the learner assumes that words are predictive, the resulting segmentation is far more accurate. These results indicate that taking context into account is important for a statistical word segmentation strategy to be successful, and raise the possibility that even young infants may be able to exploit more subtle statistical patterns than have usually been considered. 1

We present an application of hierarchical Bayesian estimation to robot map building. The revisiting problem occurs when a robot has to decide whether it is seeing a previously-built portion of a map, or is exploring new territory. This is a difficult decision problem, requiring the probability of being outside of the current known map. To estimate this probability, we model the structure of a ”typical ” environment as a hidden Markov model that generates sequences of views observed by a robot navigating through the environment. A Dirichlet prior over structural models is learned from previously explored environments. Whenever a robot explores a new environment, the posterior over the model is estimated by Dirichlet hyperparameters. Our approach is implemented and tested in the context of multi-robot map merging, a particularly difficult instance of the revisiting problem. Experiments with robot data show that the technique yields strong improvements over alternative methods. 1

Maximum a posterJori optimization of parameters and the Laplace approximation for the marginal likelihood are both basis-dependent methods. This note compares two choices of basis for models parameterized by probabilities, showing that it is possible to improve on the traditional choice, the probability simplex, by transforming to the softmax' basis.

Interpolated Kneser-Ney is one of the best smoothing methods for n-gram language models. Previous explanations for its superiority have been based on intuitive and empirical justifications of specific properties of the method. We propose a novel interpretation of interpolated Kneser-Ney as approximate inference in a hierarchical Bayesian model consisting of Pitman-Yor processes. As opposed to past explanations, our interpretation can recover exactly the formulation of interpolated Kneser-Ney, and performs better than interpolated Kneser-Ney when a better inference procedure is used. 1

We present an application of hierarchical Bayesian estimation to robot map building. The revisiting problem occurs when a robot has to decide whether it is seeing a previouslybuilt portion of a map, or is exploring new territory. This is a difficult decision problem, requiring the probability of being outside of the current known map. To estimate this probability, we model the structure of a "typical" environment as a hidden Markov model that generates sequences of views observed by a robot navigating through the environment. A Dirichlet prior over structural models is learned from previously explored environments. Whenever a robot explores a new environment, the posterior over the model is estimated using Dirichlet hyperparameters. Our approach is implemented and tested in the context of multi-robot map merging, a particularly difficult instance of the revisiting problem. Experiments with robot data show that the technique yields strong improvements over alternative methods.

This paper provides an overview of nonparametric Bayesian models relevant to natural language processing (NLP) tasks. We first introduce Bayesian parametric methods, followed by nonparametric Bayesian modeling based on the most common nonparametric prior, the Dirichlet Process. We give characterizations of the Dirichlet Process via the Polya urn scheme, the related Chinese restaurant metaphor, and the stick-breaking construction. We will also introduce two generalizations