This paper presents the architecture and learning procedure underlying ANFIS (AdaptiveNetwork -based Fuzzy Inference System), a fuzzy inference system implemented in the framework of adaptive networks. By using a hybrid learning procedure, the proposed ANFIS can construct an input-output mapping based on both human knowledge (in the form of fuzzy if-then rules) and stipulated input-output data pairs. In our simulation, we employ the ANFIS architecture to model nonlinear functions, identify nonlinear components on-linely in a control system, and predict a chaotic time series, all yielding remarkable results. Comparisons with artificail neural networks and earlier work on fuzzy modeling are listed and discussed. Other extensions of the proposed ANFIS and promising applications to automatic control and signal processing are also suggested. 1 Introduction System modeling based on conventional mathematical tools (e.g., differential equations) is not well suited for dealing with ill-define...

Learning an input-output mapping from a set of examples, of the type that many neural networks have been constructed to perform, can be regarded as synthesizing an approximation of a multi-dimensional function, that is solving the problem of hypersurface reconstruction. From this point of view, this form of learning is closely related to classical approximation techniques, such as generalized splines and regularization theory. This paper considers the problems of an exact representation and, in more detail, of the approximation of linear and nonlinear mappings in terms of simpler functions of fewer variables. Kolmogorov's theorem concerning the representation of functions of several variables in terms of functions of one variable turns out to be almost irrelevant in the context of networks for learning. Wedevelop a theoretical framework for approximation based on regularization techniques that leads to a class of three-layer networks that we call Generalized Radial Basis Functions (GRBF), since they are mathematically related to the well-known Radial Basis Functions, mainly used for strict interpolation tasks. GRBF networks are not only equivalent to generalized splines, but are also closely related to pattern recognition methods suchasParzen windows and potential functions and to several neural network algorithms, suchas Kanerva's associative memory,backpropagation and Kohonen's topology preserving map. They also haveaninteresting interpretation in terms of prototypes that are synthesized and optimally combined during the learning stage. The paper introduces several extensions and applications of the technique and discusses intriguing analogies with neurobiological data.

Abstract | We survey learning algorithms for recurrent neural networks with hidden units, and put the various techniques into a common framework. We discuss xedpoint learning algorithms, namely recurrent backpropagation and deterministic Boltzmann Machines, and non- xedpoint algorithms, namely backpropagation through time, Elman's history cuto, and Jordan's output feedback architecture. Forward propagation, an online technique that uses adjoint equations, and variations thereof, are also discussed. In many cases, the uni ed presentation leads to generalizations of various sorts. We discuss advantages and disadvantages of temporally continuous neural networks in contrast to clocked ones, continue with some \tricks of the trade" for training, using, and simulating continuous time and recurrent neural networks. We present somesimulations, and at the end, address issues of computational complexity and learning speed.

Fundamental and advanced developments in neuro-fuzzy synergisms for modeling and control are reviewed. The essential part of neuro-fuzzy synergisms comes from a common framework called adaptive networks, which unifies both neural networks and fuzzy models. The fuzzy models under the framework of adaptive networks is called ANFIS (Adaptive-Network-based Fuzzy Inference System), which possess certain advantages over neural networks. We introduce the design methods for ANFIS in both modeling and control applications. Current problems and future directions for neuro-fuzzy approaches are also addressed.

I present a general taxonomy of neural net architectures for processing time-varying patterns. This taxonomy subsumes many existing architectures in the literature, and points to several promising architectures that have yet to be examined. Any architecture that processes timevarying patterns requires two conceptually distinct components: a short-term memory that holds on to relevant past events and an associator that uses the short-term memory to classify or predict. My taxonomy is based on a characterization of short-term memory models along the dimensions of form, content, and adaptability. Experiments on predicting future values of a financial time series (US dollar--Swiss franc exchange rates) are presented using several alternative memory models. The results of these experiments serve as a baseline against which more sophisticated architectures can be compared. Neural networks have proven to be a promising alternative to traditional techniques for nonlinear temporal prediction t...

Animation through the numerical simulation of physics-based graphics models offers unsurpassed realism, but it can be computationally demanding. Likewise, finding controllers that enable physics-based models to produce desired animations usually entails formidable computational cost. This paper demonstrates the possibility of replacing the numerical simulation and control of model dynamics with a dramatically more efficient alternative. In particular, we propose the NeuroAnimator, a novel approach to creating physically realistic animation that exploits neural networks. NeuroAnimators are automatically trained off-line to emulate physical dynamics through the observation of physics-based models in action. Depending on the model, its neural network emulator can yield physically realistic animation one or two orders of magnitude faster than conventional numerical simulation. Furthermore, by exploiting the network structure of the NeuroAnimator, we introduce a fast algorithm for learning controllers that enables either physics-based models or their neural network emulators to synthesize motions satisfying prescribed animation goals. We demonstrate NeuroAnimators for passive and active (actuated) rigid body, articulated, and deformable physics-based models.

this paper: ftp://ftp.cs.colorado.edu/pub/Time-Series/MyPapers/experts.ps.Z,

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A neural network architecture, which models synapses as Finite Impulse Response (FIR) linear filters, is discussed for use in time series prediction. Analysis and methodology are detailed in the context of the Santa Fe Institute Time Series Prediction Competition. Results of the competition show that the FIR network performed remarkably well on a chaotic laser intensity time series. 1 Introduction The goal of time series prediction or forecasting can be stated succinctly as follows: given a sequence y(1); y(2); : : : y(N) up to time N , find the continuation y(N + 1); y(N + 2)::: The series may arise from the sampling of a continuous time system, and be either stochastic or deterministic in origin. The standard prediction approach involves constructing an underlying model which gives rise to the observed sequence. In the oldest and most studied method, which dates back to Yule [1], a linear autoregression (AR) is fit to the data: y(k) = T X n=1 a(n)y(k \Gamma n) + e(k) = y(k) + ...

Daniel F. Mccaffrey, and Douglas W. Nychka for helpful discussions relating to Recently, multiple input, single output, single hidden layer, feedforward neural networks have been shown to be capable of approximating a nonlinear map and its partial derivatives. Specifically, neural nets have been shown to be dense in various Sobolev spaces (Hornik, Stinchcombe and White, 1989). Building upon this result, we show that a net can be trained so that the map and its derivatives are learned. Specifically, we use a result of Gallant (1987b) to show that least squares and similar estimates are strongly consistent in Sobolev norm provided the number of hidden units and the size of the training set increase together. We illustrate these results by an applic~tion to the inverse problem of chaotic dynamics: recovery of a nonlinear map from a time series of iterates. These results extend automatically to nets that embed the single hidden layer, feedforward network as a special case. 1.1 1.