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188
Markov Logic Networks
 Machine Learning
, 2006
"... Abstract. We propose a simple approach to combining firstorder logic and probabilistic graphical models in a single representation. A Markov logic network (MLN) is a firstorder knowledge base with a weight attached to each formula (or clause). Together with a set of constants representing objects ..."
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Cited by 811 (40 self)
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Abstract. We propose a simple approach to combining firstorder logic and probabilistic graphical models in a single representation. A Markov logic network (MLN) is a firstorder knowledge base with a weight attached to each formula (or clause). Together with a set of constants representing objects in the domain, it specifies a ground Markov network containing one feature for each possible grounding of a firstorder formula in the KB, with the corresponding weight. Inference in MLNs is performed by MCMC over the minimal subset of the ground network required for answering the query. Weights are efficiently learned from relational databases by iteratively optimizing a pseudolikelihood measure. Optionally, additional clauses are learned using inductive logic programming techniques. Experiments with a realworld database and knowledge base in a university domain illustrate the promise of this approach.
Lifted firstorder probabilistic inference
 In Proceedings of IJCAI05, 19th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence
, 2005
"... Most probabilistic inference algorithms are specified and processed on a propositional level. In the last decade, many proposals for algorithms accepting firstorder specifications have been presented, but in the inference stage they still operate on a mostly propositional representation level. [Poo ..."
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Cited by 127 (8 self)
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Most probabilistic inference algorithms are specified and processed on a propositional level. In the last decade, many proposals for algorithms accepting firstorder specifications have been presented, but in the inference stage they still operate on a mostly propositional representation level. [Poole, 2003] presented a method to perform inference directly on the firstorder level, but this method is limited to special cases. In this paper we present the first exact inference algorithm that operates directly on a firstorder level, and that can be applied to any firstorder model (specified in a language that generalizes undirected graphical models). Our experiments show superior performance in comparison with propositional exact inference. 1
Lifted firstorder belief propagation
 In Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI
, 2008
"... Unifying firstorder logic and probability is a longstanding goal of AI, and in recent years many representations combining aspects of the two have been proposed. However, inference in them is generally still at the level of propositional logic, creating all ground atoms and formulas and applying s ..."
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Cited by 113 (16 self)
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Unifying firstorder logic and probability is a longstanding goal of AI, and in recent years many representations combining aspects of the two have been proposed. However, inference in them is generally still at the level of propositional logic, creating all ground atoms and formulas and applying standard probabilistic inference methods to the resulting network. Ideally, inference should be lifted as in firstorder logic, handling whole sets of indistinguishable objects together, in time independent of their cardinality. Poole (2003) and Braz et al. (2005, 2006) developed a lifted version of the variable elimination algorithm, but it is extremely complex, generally does not scale to realistic domains, and has only been applied to very small artificial problems. In this paper we propose the first lifted version of a scalable probabilistic inference algorithm, belief propagation (loopy or not). Our approach is based on first constructing a lifted network, where each node represents a set of ground atoms that all pass the same messages during belief propagation. We then run belief propagation on this network. We prove the correctness and optimality of our algorithm. Experiments show that it can greatly reduce the cost of inference.
Lifted probabilistic inference with counting formulas
 Proceedings of the TwentyThird AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI2008
, 2008
"... Lifted inference algorithms exploit repeated structure in probabilistic models to answer queries efficiently. Previous work such as de Salvo Braz et al.’s firstorder variable elimination (FOVE) has focused on the sharing of potentials across interchangeable random variables. In this paper, we also ..."
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Cited by 73 (11 self)
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Lifted inference algorithms exploit repeated structure in probabilistic models to answer queries efficiently. Previous work such as de Salvo Braz et al.’s firstorder variable elimination (FOVE) has focused on the sharing of potentials across interchangeable random variables. In this paper, we also exploit interchangeability within individual potentials by introducing counting formulas, which indicate how many of the random variables in a set have each possible value. We present a new lifted inference algorithm, CFOVE, that not only handles counting formulas in its input, but also creates counting formulas for use in intermediate potentials. CFOVE can be described succinctly in terms of six operators, along with heuristics for when to apply them. Because counting formulas capture dependencies among large numbers of variables compactly, CFOVE achieves asymptotic speed improvements compared to FOVE.
Compiling relational bayesian networks for exact inference
 International Journal of Approximate Reasoning
, 2004
"... We describe in this paper a system for exact inference with relational Bayesian networks as defined in the publicly available Primula tool. The system is based on compiling propositional instances of relational Bayesian networks into arithmetic circuits and then performing online inference by evalua ..."
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Cited by 71 (16 self)
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We describe in this paper a system for exact inference with relational Bayesian networks as defined in the publicly available Primula tool. The system is based on compiling propositional instances of relational Bayesian networks into arithmetic circuits and then performing online inference by evaluating and differentiating these circuits in time linear in their size. We report on experimental results showing successful compilation and efficient inference on relational Bayesian networks, whose Primula–generated propositional instances have thousands of variables, and whose jointrees have clusters with hundreds of variables.
Probabilistic Theorem Proving
"... Many representation schemes combining firstorder logic and probability have been proposed in recent years. Progress in unifying logical and probabilistic inference has been slower. Existing methods are mainly variants of lifted variable elimination and belief propagation, neither of which take logic ..."
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Cited by 66 (21 self)
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Many representation schemes combining firstorder logic and probability have been proposed in recent years. Progress in unifying logical and probabilistic inference has been slower. Existing methods are mainly variants of lifted variable elimination and belief propagation, neither of which take logical structure into account. We propose the first method that has the full power of both graphical model inference and firstorder theorem proving (in finite domains with Herbrand interpretations). We first define probabilistic theorem proving, their generalization, as the problem of computing the probability of a logical formula given the probabilities or weights of a set of formulas. We then show how this can be reduced to the problem of lifted weighted model counting, and develop an efficient algorithm for the latter. We prove the correctness of this algorithm, investigate its properties, and show how it generalizes previous approaches. Experiments show that it greatly outperforms lifted variable elimination when logical structure is present. Finally, we propose an algorithm for approximate probabilistic theorem proving, and show that it can greatly outperform lifted belief propagation. 1
BAYESSTORE: Managing Large, Uncertain Data Repositories with Probabilistic Graphical Models
"... Several realworld applications need to effectively manage and reason about large amounts of data that are inherently uncertain. For instance, pervasive computing applications must constantly reason about volumes of noisy sensory readings for a variety of reasons, including motion prediction and hum ..."
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Cited by 60 (1 self)
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Several realworld applications need to effectively manage and reason about large amounts of data that are inherently uncertain. For instance, pervasive computing applications must constantly reason about volumes of noisy sensory readings for a variety of reasons, including motion prediction and human behavior modeling. Such probabilistic data analyses require sophisticated machinelearning tools that can effectively model the complex spatio/temporal correlation patterns present in uncertain sensory data. Unfortunately, to date, most existing approaches to probabilistic database systems have relied on somewhat simplistic models of uncertainty that can be easily mapped onto existing relational architectures: Probabilistic information is typically associated with individual data tuples, with only limited or no support for effectively capturing and reasoning about complex data correlations. In this paper, we introduce BAYESSTORE, a novel probabilistic data management architecture built on the principle of handling statistical models and probabilistic inference tools as firstclass citizens of the database system. Adopting a machinelearning view, BAYESSTORE employs concise statistical relational models to effectively encode the correlation patterns between uncertain data, and promotes probabilistic inference and statistical model manipulation as part of the standard DBMS operator repertoire to support efficient and sound query processing. We present BAYESSTORE’s uncertainty model based on a novel, firstorder statistical model, and we redefine traditional query processing operators, to manipulate the data and the probabilistic models of the database in an efficient manner. Finally, we validate our approach, by demonstrating the value of exploiting data correlations during query processing, and by evaluating a number of optimizations which significantly accelerate query processing. 1
Counting belief propagation
 In Proc. UAI09
, 2009
"... A major benefit of graphical models is that most knowledge is captured in the model structure. Many models, however, produce inference problems with a lot of symmetries not reflected in the graphical structure and hence not exploitable by efficient inference techniques such as belief propagation (BP ..."
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Cited by 51 (20 self)
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A major benefit of graphical models is that most knowledge is captured in the model structure. Many models, however, produce inference problems with a lot of symmetries not reflected in the graphical structure and hence not exploitable by efficient inference techniques such as belief propagation (BP). In this paper, we present a new and simple BP algorithm, called counting BP, that exploits such additional symmetries. Starting from a given factor graph, counting BP first constructs a compressed factor graph of clusternodes and clusterfactors, corresponding to sets of nodes and factors that are indistinguishable given the evidence. Then it runs a modified BP algorithm on the compressed graph that is equivalent to running BP on the original factor graph. Our experiments show that counting BP is applicable to a variety of important AI tasks such as (dynamic) relational models and boolean model counting, and that significant efficiency gains are obtainable, often by orders of magnitude. 1
Memoryefficient inference in relational domains
 In Proceedings of the TwentyFirst National Conference on Artificial Intelligence
, 2006
"... Propositionalization of a firstorder theory followed by satisfiability testing has proved to be a remarkably efficient approach to inference in relational domains such as planning (Kautz & Selman 1996) and verification (Jackson 2000). More recently, weighted satisfiability solvers have been use ..."
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Cited by 45 (9 self)
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Propositionalization of a firstorder theory followed by satisfiability testing has proved to be a remarkably efficient approach to inference in relational domains such as planning (Kautz & Selman 1996) and verification (Jackson 2000). More recently, weighted satisfiability solvers have been used successfully for MPE inference in statistical relational learners (Singla & Domingos 2005). However, fully instantiating a finite firstorder theory requires memory on the order of the number of constants raised to the arity of the clauses, which significantly limits the size of domains it can be applied to. In this paper we propose LazySAT, a variation of the WalkSAT solver that avoids this blowup by taking advantage of the extreme sparseness that is typical of relational domains (i.e., only a small fraction of ground atoms are true, and most clauses are trivially satisfied). Experiments on entity resolution and planning problems show that LazySAT reduces memory usage by orders of magnitude compared to WalkSAT, while taking comparable time to run and producing the same solutions.
Exploiting Shared Correlations in Probabilistic Databases
, 2008
"... There has been a recent surge in work in probabilistic databases, propelled in large part by the huge increase in noisy data sources — from sensor data, experimental data, data from uncurated sources, and many others. There is a growing need for database management systems that can efficiently repre ..."
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Cited by 38 (7 self)
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There has been a recent surge in work in probabilistic databases, propelled in large part by the huge increase in noisy data sources — from sensor data, experimental data, data from uncurated sources, and many others. There is a growing need for database management systems that can efficiently represent and query such data. In this work, we show how data characteristics can be leveraged to make the query evaluation process more efficient. In particular, we exploit what we refer to as shared correlations where the same uncertainties and correlations occur repeatedly in the data. Shared correlations occur mainly due to two reasons: (1) Uncertainty and correlations usually come from general statistics and rarely vary on a tupletotuple basis; (2) The query evaluation procedure itself tends to reintroduce the same correlations. Prior work has shown that the query evaluation problem on probabilistic databases is equivalent to a probabilistic inference problem on an appropriately constructed probabilistic graphical model (PGM). We leverage this by introducing a new data structure, called the random variable elimination graph (rvelim graph) that can be built from the PGM obtained from query evaluation. We develop techniques based on bisimulation that can be used to compress the rvelim graph exploiting the presence of shared correlations in the PGM, the compressed rvelim graph can then be used to run inference. We validate our methods by evaluating them empirically and show that even with a few shared correlations significant speedups are possible.