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606
Beyond Independence: Conditions for the Optimality of the Simple Bayesian Classifier
"... The simple Bayesian classifier (SBC) is commonly thought to assume that attributes are independent given the class, but this is apparently contradicted by the surprisingly good performance it exhibits in many domains that contain clear attribute dependences. No explanation for this has been proposed ..."
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Cited by 295 (8 self)
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The simple Bayesian classifier (SBC) is commonly thought to assume that attributes are independent given the class, but this is apparently contradicted by the surprisingly good performance it exhibits in many domains that contain clear attribute dependences. No explanation for this has been proposed so far. In this paper we show that the SBC does not in fact assume attribute independence, and can be optimal even when this assumption is violated by a wide margin. The key to this finding lies in the distinction between classification and probability estimation: correct classification can be achieved even when the probability estimates used contain large errors. We show that the previouslyassumed region of optimality of the SBC is a secondorder infinitesimal fraction of the actual one. This is followed by the derivation of several necessary and several sufficient conditions for the optimality of the SBC. For example, the SBC is optimal for learning arbitrary conjunctions and disjunctions, even though they violate the independence assumption. The paper also reports empirical evidence of the SBC's competitive performance in domains containing substantial degrees of attribute dependence.
A System for Induction of Oblique Decision Trees
 Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research
, 1994
"... This article describes a new system for induction of oblique decision trees. This system, OC1, combines deterministic hillclimbing with two forms of randomization to find a good oblique split (in the form of a hyperplane) at each node of a decision tree. Oblique decision tree methods are tuned espe ..."
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Cited by 251 (13 self)
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This article describes a new system for induction of oblique decision trees. This system, OC1, combines deterministic hillclimbing with two forms of randomization to find a good oblique split (in the form of a hyperplane) at each node of a decision tree. Oblique decision tree methods are tuned especially for domains in which the attributes are numeric, although they can be adapted to symbolic or mixed symbolic/numeric attributes. We present extensive empirical studies, using both real and artificial data, that analyze OC1's ability to construct oblique trees that are smaller and more accurate than their axisparallel counterparts. We also examine the benefits of randomization for the construction of oblique decision trees. 1. Introduction Current data collection technology provides a unique challenge and opportunity for automated machine learning techniques. The advent of major scientific projects such as the Human Genome Project, the Hubble Space Telescope, and the human brain mappi...
Operations for Learning with Graphical Models
 Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research
, 1994
"... This paper is a multidisciplinary review of empirical, statistical learning from a graphical model perspective. Wellknown examples of graphical models include Bayesian networks, directed graphs representing a Markov chain, and undirected networks representing a Markov field. These graphical models ..."
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Cited by 249 (12 self)
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This paper is a multidisciplinary review of empirical, statistical learning from a graphical model perspective. Wellknown examples of graphical models include Bayesian networks, directed graphs representing a Markov chain, and undirected networks representing a Markov field. These graphical models are extended to model data analysis and empirical learning using the notation of plates. Graphical operations for simplifying and manipulating a problem are provided including decomposition, differentiation, and the manipulation of probability models from the exponential family. Two standard algorithm schemas for learning are reviewed in a graphical framework: Gibbs sampling and the expectation maximization algorithm. Using these operations and schemas, some popular algorithms can be synthesized from their graphical specification. This includes versions of linear regression, techniques for feedforward networks, and learning Gaussian and discrete Bayesian networks from data. The paper conclu...
Solving the multipleinstance problem with axisparallel rectangles
 Artificial Intelligence
, 1997
"... ..."
Being Bayesian about network structure
 Machine Learning
, 2000
"... Abstract. In many multivariate domains, we are interested in analyzing the dependency structure of the underlying distribution, e.g., whether two variables are in direct interaction. We can represent dependency structures using Bayesian network models. To analyze a given data set, Bayesian model sel ..."
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Cited by 202 (5 self)
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Abstract. In many multivariate domains, we are interested in analyzing the dependency structure of the underlying distribution, e.g., whether two variables are in direct interaction. We can represent dependency structures using Bayesian network models. To analyze a given data set, Bayesian model selection attempts to find the most likely (MAP) model, and uses its structure to answer these questions. However, when the amount of available data is modest, there might be many models that have nonnegligible posterior. Thus, we want compute the Bayesian posterior of a feature, i.e., the total posterior probability of all models that contain it. In this paper, we propose a new approach for this task. We first show how to efficiently compute a sum over the exponential number of networks that are consistent with a fixed order over network variables. This allows us to compute, for a given order, both the marginal probability of the data and the posterior of a feature. We then use this result as the basis for an algorithm that approximates the Bayesian posterior of a feature. Our approach uses a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method, but over orders rather than over network structures. The space of orders is smaller and more regular than the space of structures, and has much a smoother posterior “landscape”. We present empirical results on synthetic and reallife datasets that compare our approach to full model averaging (when possible), to MCMC over network structures, and to a nonBayesian bootstrap approach.
Feature Subset Selection Using A Genetic Algorithm
, 1997
"... : Practical pattern classification and knowledge discovery problems require selection of a subset of attributes or features (from a much larger set) to represent the patterns to be classified. This is due to the fact that the performance of the classifier (usually induced by some learning algorithm) ..."
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Cited by 183 (7 self)
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: Practical pattern classification and knowledge discovery problems require selection of a subset of attributes or features (from a much larger set) to represent the patterns to be classified. This is due to the fact that the performance of the classifier (usually induced by some learning algorithm) and the cost of classification are sensitive to the choice of the features used to construct the classifier. Exhaustive evaluation of possible feature subsets is usually infeasible in practice because of the large amount of computational effort required. Genetic algorithms, which belong to a class of randomized heuristic search techniques, offer an attractive approach to find nearoptimal solutions to such optimization problems. This paper presents an approach to feature subset selection using a genetic algorithm. Some advantages of this approach include the ability to accommodate multiple criteria such as accuracy and cost of classification into the feature selection process and to find fe...
Popular ensemble methods: an empirical study
 Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research
, 1999
"... An ensemble consists of a set of individually trained classifiers (such as neural networks or decision trees) whose predictions are combined when classifying novel instances. Previous research has shown that an ensemble is often more accurate than any of the single classifiers in the ensemble. Baggi ..."
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Cited by 181 (3 self)
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An ensemble consists of a set of individually trained classifiers (such as neural networks or decision trees) whose predictions are combined when classifying novel instances. Previous research has shown that an ensemble is often more accurate than any of the single classifiers in the ensemble. Bagging (Breiman, 1996c) and Boosting (Freund & Schapire, 1996; Schapire, 1990) are two relatively new but popular methods for producing ensembles. In this paper we evaluate these methods on 23 data sets using both neural networks and decision trees as our classification algorithm. Our results clearly indicate a number of conclusions. First, while Bagging is almost always more accurate than a single classifier, it is sometimes much less accurate than Boosting. On the other hand, Boosting can create ensembles that are less accurate than a single classifier – especially when using neural networks. Analysis indicates that the performance of the Boosting methods is dependent on the characteristics of the data set being examined. In fact, further results show that Boosting ensembles may overfit noisy data sets, thus decreasing its performance. Finally, consistent with previous studies, our work suggests that most of the gain in an ensemble’s performance comes in the first few classifiers combined; however, relatively large gains can be seen up to 25 classifiers when Boosting decision trees. 1.
Scaling Up the Accuracy of NaiveBayes Classifiers: a DecisionTree Hybrid
 PROCEEDINGS OF THE SECOND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERY AND DATA MINING
, 1996
"... NaiveBayes induction algorithms were previously shown to be surprisingly accurate on many classification tasks even when the conditional independence assumption on which they are based is violated. However, most studies were done on small databases. We show that in some larger databases, the accura ..."
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Cited by 175 (4 self)
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NaiveBayes induction algorithms were previously shown to be surprisingly accurate on many classification tasks even when the conditional independence assumption on which they are based is violated. However, most studies were done on small databases. We show that in some larger databases, the accuracy of NaiveBayes does not scale up as well as decision trees. We then propose a new algorithm, NBTree, which induces a hybrid of decisiontree classifiers and NaiveBayes classifiers: the decisiontree nodes contain univariate splits as regular decisiontrees, but the leaves contain NaiveBayesian classifiers. The approach retains the interpretability of NaiveBayes and decision trees, while resulting in classifiers that frequently outperform both constituents, especially in the larger databases tested.
Semisupervised support vector machines
 Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems
, 1998
"... We introduce a semisupervised support vector machine (S 3 VM) method. Given a training set of labeled data and a working set of unlabeled data, S 3 VM constructs a support vector machine using both the training and working sets. We use S 3 VM to solve the transduction problem using overall risk min ..."
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Cited by 173 (7 self)
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We introduce a semisupervised support vector machine (S 3 VM) method. Given a training set of labeled data and a working set of unlabeled data, S 3 VM constructs a support vector machine using both the training and working sets. We use S 3 VM to solve the transduction problem using overall risk minimization (ORM) posed by Vapnik. The transduction problem is to estimate the value of a classification function at the given points in the working set. This contrasts with the standard inductive learning problem of estimating the classification function at all possible values and then using the fixed function to deduce the classes of the working set data. We propose a general S 3 VM model that minimizes both the misclassification error and the function capacity based on all the available data. We show how the S 3 VM model for 1norm linear support vector machines can be converted to a mixedinteger program and then solved exactly using integer programming. Results of S 3 VM and the standard 1norm support vector machine approach are compared on eleven data sets. Our computational results support the statistical learning theory results showing that incorporating working data improves generalization when insufficient training information is available. In every case, S 3 VM either improved or showed no significant difference in generalization compared to the traditional approach.
Bias plus variance decomposition for zeroone loss functions
 In Machine Learning: Proceedings of the Thirteenth International Conference
, 1996
"... We present a biasvariance decomposition of expected misclassi cation rate, the most commonly used loss function in supervised classi cation learning. The biasvariance decomposition for quadratic loss functions is well known and serves as an important tool for analyzing learning algorithms, yet no ..."
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Cited by 172 (4 self)
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We present a biasvariance decomposition of expected misclassi cation rate, the most commonly used loss function in supervised classi cation learning. The biasvariance decomposition for quadratic loss functions is well known and serves as an important tool for analyzing learning algorithms, yet no decomposition was o ered for the more commonly used zeroone (misclassi cation) loss functions until the recent work of Kong & Dietterich (1995) and Breiman (1996). Their decomposition su ers from some major shortcomings though (e.g., potentially negative variance), which our decomposition avoids. We show that, in practice, the naive frequencybased estimation of the decomposition terms is by itself biased and show how to correct for this bias. We illustrate the decomposition on various algorithms and datasets from the UCI repository. 1