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58
Representing Default Rules in Possibilistic Logic
, 1992
"... A key issue when reasoning with default rules is how to order them so as to derive plausible conclusions according to the more specific rules applicable to the situation under concern, to make sure that default rules are not systematically inhibited by more general rules, and to cope with the proble ..."
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Cited by 106 (43 self)
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A key issue when reasoning with default rules is how to order them so as to derive plausible conclusions according to the more specific rules applicable to the situation under concern, to make sure that default rules are not systematically inhibited by more general rules, and to cope with the problem of irrelevance of facts with respect to exceptions. Pearl's system Z enables us to rankorder default rules. In this paper we show how to encode such a rankordered set of defaults in possibilistic logic. We can thus take advantage of the deductive machinery available in possibilistic logic. We point out that the notion of inconsistency tolerant inference in possibilistic logic corresponds to the bold inference ; 1 in system Z. We also show how to express defaults by means of qualitative possibility relations. Improvements to the ordering provided by system Z are also proposed.
Nonmonotonic Reasoning, Conditional Objects and Possibility Theory
 Artificial Intelligence
, 1997
"... . This short paper relates the conditional objectbased and possibility theorybased approaches for reasoning with conditional statements pervaded with exceptions, to other methods in nonmonotonic reasoning which have been independently proposed: namely, Lehmann's preferential and rational closu ..."
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Cited by 76 (22 self)
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. This short paper relates the conditional objectbased and possibility theorybased approaches for reasoning with conditional statements pervaded with exceptions, to other methods in nonmonotonic reasoning which have been independently proposed: namely, Lehmann's preferential and rational closure entailments which obey normative postulates, the infinitesimal probability approach, and the conditional (modal) logicsbased approach. All these methods are shown to be equivalent with respect to their capabilities for reasoning with conditional knowledge although they are based on different modeling frameworks. It thus provides a unified understanding of nonmonotonic consequence relations. More particularly, conditional objects, a purely qualitative counterpart to conditional probabilities, offer a very simple semantics, based on a 3valued calculus, for the preferential entailment, while in the purely ordinal setting of possibility theory both the preferential and the rational closure entai...
Fuzzy sets and probability : Misunderstandings, bridges and gaps
 In Proceedings of the Second IEEE Conference on Fuzzy Systems
, 1993
"... This paper is meant to survey the literature pertaining to this debate, and to try to overcome misunderstandings and to supply access to many basic references that have addressed the "probability versus fuzzy set" challenge. This problem has not a single facet, as will be claimed here. Mor ..."
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Cited by 59 (6 self)
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This paper is meant to survey the literature pertaining to this debate, and to try to overcome misunderstandings and to supply access to many basic references that have addressed the "probability versus fuzzy set" challenge. This problem has not a single facet, as will be claimed here. Moreover it seems that a lot of controversies might have been avoided if protagonists had been patient enough to build a common language and to share their scientific backgrounds. The main points made here are as follows. i) Fuzzy set theory is a consistent body of mathematical tools. ii) Although fuzzy sets and probability measures are distinct, several bridges relating them have been proposed that should reconcile opposite points of view ; especially possibility theory stands at the crossroads between fuzzy sets and probability theory. iii) Mathematical objects that behave like fuzzy sets exist in probability theory. It does not mean that fuzziness is reducible to randomness. Indeed iv) there are ways of approaching fuzzy sets and possibility theory that owe nothing to probability theory. Interpretations of probability theory are multiple especially frequentist versus subjectivist views (Fine [31]) ; several interpretations of fuzzy sets also exist. Some interpretations of fuzzy sets are in agreement with probability calculus and some are not. The paper is structured as follows : first we address some classical misunderstandings between fuzzy sets and probabilities. They must be solved before any discussion can take place. Then we consider probabilistic interpretations of membership functions, that may help in membership function assessment. We also point out nonprobabilistic interpretations of fuzzy sets. The next section examines the literature on possibilityprobability transformati...
DecisionTheoretic Foundations of Qualitative Possibility Theory
 European Journal of Operational Research
, 2000
"... This paper presents a justification of two qualitative counterparts of the expected utility criterion for decision under uncertainty, which only require bounded, linearly ordered, valuation sets for expressing uncertainty and preferences. This is carried out in the style of Savage, starting with ..."
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Cited by 59 (10 self)
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This paper presents a justification of two qualitative counterparts of the expected utility criterion for decision under uncertainty, which only require bounded, linearly ordered, valuation sets for expressing uncertainty and preferences. This is carried out in the style of Savage, starting with a set of acts equipped with a complete preordering relation. Conditions on acts are given that imply a possibilistic representation of the decisionmaker uncertainty. In this framework, pessimistic (i.e., uncertaintyaverse) as well as optimistic attitudes can be explicitly captured. The approach thus proposes an operationally testable description of possibility theory. 1
Possibility theory and statistical reasoning
 Computational Statistics & Data Analysis Vol
, 2006
"... Numerical possibility distributions can encode special convex families of probability measures. The connection between possibility theory and probability theory is potentially fruitful in the scope of statistical reasoning when uncertainty due to variability of observations should be distinguished f ..."
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Cited by 59 (4 self)
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Numerical possibility distributions can encode special convex families of probability measures. The connection between possibility theory and probability theory is potentially fruitful in the scope of statistical reasoning when uncertainty due to variability of observations should be distinguished from uncertainty due to incomplete information. This paper proposes an overview of numerical possibility theory. Its aim is to show that some notions in statistics are naturally interpreted in the language of this theory. First, probabilistic inequalites (like Chebychev’s) offer a natural setting for devising possibility distributions from poor probabilistic information. Moreover, likelihood functions obey the laws of possibility theory when no prior probability is available. Possibility distributions also generalize the notion of confidence or prediction intervals, shedding some light on the role of the mode of asymmetric probability densities in the derivation of maximally informative interval substitutes of probabilistic information. Finally, the simulation of fuzzy sets comes down to selecting a probabilistic representation of a possibility distribution, which coincides with the Shapley value of the corresponding consonant capacity. This selection process is in agreement with Laplace indifference principle and is closely connected with the mean interval of a fuzzy interval. It sheds light on the “defuzzification ” process in fuzzy set theory and provides a natural definition of a subjective possibility distribution that sticks to the Bayesian framework of exchangeable bets. Potential applications to risk assessment are pointed out. 1
Possibilistic logic, preferential models, nonmonotonicity and related issues
 In Proc. Twelfth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI '91
, 1991
"... The links between Shoham's preference logic and possibilistic logic, a numerical logic of uncertainty based on Zadeh's possibility measures, are investigated. Starting from a fuzzy set of preferential interpretations of a propositional theory, we prove that the notion of preferential entai ..."
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Cited by 50 (9 self)
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The links between Shoham's preference logic and possibilistic logic, a numerical logic of uncertainty based on Zadeh's possibility measures, are investigated. Starting from a fuzzy set of preferential interpretations of a propositional theory, we prove that the notion of preferential entailment is closely related to a previously introduced notion of conditional possibility. Conditional possibility is then shown to possess all properties (originally stated by Gabbay) of a wellbehaved nonmonotonic consequence relation. We obtain the possibilistic counterpart of Adams ' esemantics of conditional probabilities which is the basis of the probabilistic model of nonmonotonic logic proposed by Geffner and Pearl. Lastly we prove that our notion of possibilistic entailment is the one at work in possibilistic logic, a logic that handles uncertain propositional formulas, where uncertainty is modelled by degrees of necessity, and where partial inconsistency is allowed. Considering the formerly established close links between Gardenfors'epistemic entrenchment and necessity measures, what this paper proposes is a new way of relating belief revision and nonmonotonic inference, namely via possibility theory. 1
Measurement Of Membership Functions: Theoretical And Empirical Work
, 1995
"... This chapter presents a review of various interpretations of the fuzzy membership function together with ways of obtaining a membership function. We emphasize that different interpretations of the membership function call for different elicitation methods. We try to make this distinction clear u ..."
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Cited by 32 (1 self)
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This chapter presents a review of various interpretations of the fuzzy membership function together with ways of obtaining a membership function. We emphasize that different interpretations of the membership function call for different elicitation methods. We try to make this distinction clear using techniques from measurement theory.
Plausibility Measures: A User's Guide
 In Proc. Eleventh Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI '95
, 1995
"... We examine a new approach to modeling uncertainty based on plausibility measures, where a plausibility measure just associates with an event its plausibility, an element is some partially ordered set. This approach is easily seen to generalize other approaches to modeling uncertainty, such as probab ..."
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Cited by 32 (7 self)
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We examine a new approach to modeling uncertainty based on plausibility measures, where a plausibility measure just associates with an event its plausibility, an element is some partially ordered set. This approach is easily seen to generalize other approaches to modeling uncertainty, such as probability measures, belief functions, and possibility measures. The lack of structure in a plausibility measure makes it easy for us to add structure on an "as needed" basis, letting us examine what is required to ensure that a plausibility measure has certain properties of interest. This gives us insight into the essential features of the properties in question, while allowing us to prove general results that apply to many approaches to reasoning about uncertainty. Plausibility measures have already proved useful in analyzing default reasoning. In this paper, we examine their "algebraic properties", analogues to the use of + and \Theta in probability theory. An understanding of such properties ...
Qualitative decision theory: from Savage’s axioms to nonmonotonic reasoning
 Journal of the ACM
, 2002
"... Abstract: This paper investigates to what extent a purely symbolic approach to decision making under uncertainty is possible, in the scope of Artificial Intelligence. Contrary to classical approaches to decision theory, we try to rank acts without resorting to any numerical representation of utility ..."
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Cited by 31 (0 self)
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Abstract: This paper investigates to what extent a purely symbolic approach to decision making under uncertainty is possible, in the scope of Artificial Intelligence. Contrary to classical approaches to decision theory, we try to rank acts without resorting to any numerical representation of utility nor uncertainty, and without using any scale on which both uncertainty and preference could be mapped. Our approach is a variant of Savage's where the setting is finite, and the strict preference on acts is a partial order. It is shown that although many axioms of Savage theory are preserved and despite the intuitive appeal of the ordinal method for constructing a preference over acts, the approach is inconsistent with a probabilistic representation of uncertainty. The latter leads to the kind of paradoxes encountered in the theory of voting. It is shown that the assumption of ordinal invariance enforces a qualitative decision procedure that presupposes a comparative possibility representation of uncertainty, originally due to Lewis, and usual in nonmonotonic reasoning. Our axiomatic investigation thus provides decisiontheoretic foundations to preferential inference of Lehmann and colleagues. However, the obtained decision rules are sometimes either not very decisive or may lead to overconfident decisions, although their basic principles look sound. This paper points out some limitations of purely ordinal approaches to Savagelike decision making under uncertainty, in perfect analogy with similar difficulties in voting theory.