Earlier models of virus evolution during single infections do not include target cell limitation. Here we extend the basic mathematical framework of these theories and study the effect of target cell limitation on the evolution of antigenic variation, increasing replication rates and increasing virus load. We find that target cell limitation provides a selection pressure against antigenic diversification, and can therefore provide a limit to diversity. Antigenic diversity increases virus load; at the maximum level of antigenic diversity, virus load, too, is at a maximum. � 1998 Academic Press Limited 1.

This approach yields an estimate of two days for the lifespan of productively infected cells during primary infection, a value that is consistent with results obtained by drug perturbation experiments. We find that all patient data sets considered are consistent with a target-cell limited model from the time of initial infection until shortly after the peak in viremia, but some data sets are not consistent after the peak value with the assumptions of such a model. We illustrate that two possible immune response mechanisms, cytotoxic T lymphocyte destruction of infected target cells and cytokine suppression of viral replication, could account for declines in viral load data not predicted by the original target-cell limited model. We conclude that some additional process, perhaps mediated by CD8+ T cells, is important in at least some patients. 2 1. Introduction 1.1 Background During primary HIV infection, viral load increases sharply during the first few weeks

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The most severe human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) epidemic is occurring in southern Africa. It is caused by HIV-1 subtype C (HIV-1C). In this study we present the identification and analysis of cumulative cytotoxic T-lymphocyte (CTL) responses in the southern African country of Botswana. CTLs were shown to be an important component of the immune response to control HIV-1 infection. The definition of optimal and dominant epitopes across the HIV-1C genome that are targeted by CTL is critical for vaccine design. The characteristics of the predominant virus that causes the HIV-1 epidemic in a certain geographic area and also the genetic background of the population, through the distribution of common HLA class I alleles, might impact dominant CTL responses in the vaccinee and in the general population. The enzyme-linked immunospot (Elispot) gamma interferon assay has recently been shown to be a reliable tool to map optimal CTL epitopes, correlating well with other methods, such as intracellular staining, tetramer staining, and the classical chromium release assay. Using Elispot with overlapping synthetic peptides across Gag, Tat, Rev, and Nef, we analyzed HIV-1C-specific CTL responses of HIV-1-infected blood donors. Profiles of cumulative Elispot-based CTL responses combined with diversity and sequence consensus data provide an additional characterization of immunodominant regions across the HIV-1C genome. Results of the study suggest that the

Previous theoretical work has suggested that efficient virus control or clearance requires antigen-independent persistence of memory cytotoxic T lymphocyte precursors (CTLp), and that failure to generate such memory CTLp can result in persistent infection and eventual loss of virus control. Here we use mathematical models to investigate the relationship between virus control, the clonal composition of the CTL response and the chance of the virus to evolve antigenic escape. In the presence of efficient memory CTLp, virus is controlled at very low levels by a broad CTL response directed against multiple epitopes. In this case, antigenic escape of the virus population is expected to take a very long time. On the other hand, if the CTL response is short lived in the absence of antigen, virus replicates at higher levels and is only opposed by a narrow CTL response, characterized by an immunodominant CTL clone. In this case, antigenic escape is expected to evolve in a short period of time, resulting in progressive loss of virus control. We discuss our findings in relation to data from HIV-1-infected patients.

The HIV/AIDS epidemic detected since the beginning of the 80’s, continues growing up at giant steps, with more than 16,000 new infections a day around the world. (1) From the beginning, the pandemic has presented an unequal pattern in different regions, countries, and individuals, being the developing countries and the poor the more affected. This differences

Background: T-cell immunity is thought to play an important role in controlling HIV infection, and is a main target for HIV vaccine development. HIV-specific central memory CD8 + and CD4 + T cells producing IFNc and IL-2 have been associated with control of viremia and are therefore hypothesized to be truly protective and determine subsequent clinical outcome. However, the cause-effect relationship between HIV-specific cellular immunity and disease progression is unknown. We investigated in a large prospective cohort study involving 96 individuals of the Amsterdam Cohort Studies with a known date of seroconversion whether the presence of cytokine-producing HIV-specific CD8 + T cells early in infection was associated with AIDS-free survival time. Methods and Findings: The number and percentage of IFNc and IL-2 producing CD8 + T cells was measured after in vitro stimulation with an overlapping Gag-peptide pool in T cells sampled approximately one year after seroconversion. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazard models showed that frequencies of cytokine-producing Gag-specific CD8 + T cells (IFNc, IL-2 or both) shortly after seroconversion were neither associated with time to AIDS nor with the rate of CD4 + T-cell decline. Conclusions: These data show that high numbers of functional HIV-specific CD8 + T cells can be found early in HIV infection, irrespective of subsequent clinical outcome. The fact that both progressors and long-term non-progressors have abundant

Background: To address evolution of HIV-1 after transmission, we studied sequence dynamics in and outside predicted epitopes of cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTL) in subtype B HIV-1 variants that were isolated from 5 therapy-naive horizontal HLA-disparate donor-recipient pairs from the Amsterdam Cohort Studies on HIV-1 infection and AIDS. Methodology/Principal Findings: In the first weeks after transmission, the majority of donor-derived mutations in and outside donor-HLA-restricted epitopes in Gag, Env, and Nef, were preserved in the recipient. Reversion to the HIV-1 subtype B consensus sequence of mutations in- and outside donor-HLA-restricted CTL epitopes, and new mutations away from the consensus B sequence mostly within recipient-HLA-restricted epitopes, contributed equally to the early sequence changes. In the subsequent period (1–2 years) after transmission, still only a low number of both reverting and forward mutations had occurred. During subsequent long-term follow-up, sequence dynamics were dominated by forward mutations, mostly (50–85%) in recipient-HLA-restricted CTL epitopes. At the end of long-term follow-up, on average 43 % of the transmitted CTL escape mutations in donor-HLA-restricted epitopes had reverted to the subtype B consensus sequence. Conclusions/Significance: The relatively high proportion of long-term preserved mutations after transmission points to a lack of back selection even in the absence of CTL pressure, which may lead to an accumulating loss of critical CTL epitopes. Our data are supportive for a continuous adaptation of HIV-1 to host immune pressures which may have implications for

Mechanisms by which hepatitis C virus (HCV) evades cellular immunity to establish persistence in chronically infected individuals are not clear. Mutations in human leukocyte antigen (HLA) class I-restricted epitopes targeted by CD8 + T cells are associated with persistence, but the extent to which these mutations affect viral fitness is not fully understood. Previous work showed that the HCV quasispecies in a persistently infected chimpanzee accumulated multiple mutations in numerous class I epitopes over a period of 7 years. During the acute phase of infection, one representative epitope in the C-terminal region of the NS3/4A helicase, NS3 1629-1637, displayed multiple serial amino acid substitutions in major histocompatibility complex (MHC) anchor and T cell receptor (TCR) contact residues. Only one of these amino acid substitutions at position 9 (P9) of the epitope was stable in the quasispecies. We therefore assessed the effect of each mutation observed during in vivo infection on viral fitness and T cell responses using an HCV subgenomic replicon system and a recently developed in vitro infectious virus cell culture model. Mutation of a position 7 (P7) TCR-contact residue, I1635T, expectedly ablated the T cell response without affecting viral RNA replication or virion production. In contrast, two mutations at the P9 MHC-anchor residue abrogated antigen-specific T cell responses, but additionally decreased viral RNA