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Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management
, 2011
"... Current practice largely follows restrictive approaches to market risk measurement, such as historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we propose flexible methods that exploit recent developments in financial econometrics and are likely to produce more accurate risk assessments, treating bot ..."
Abstract
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Cited by 11 (3 self)
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Current practice largely follows restrictive approaches to market risk measurement, such as historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we propose flexible methods that exploit recent developments in financial econometrics and are likely to produce more accurate risk assessments, treating both portfoliolevel and asset-level analysis. Asset-level analysis is particularly challenging because the demands of real-world risk management in financial institutions – in particular, real-time risk tracking in very high-dimensional situations – impose strict limits on model complexity. Hence we stress powerful yet parsimonious models that are easily estimated. In addition, we emphasize the need for deeper understanding of the links between market risk and macroeconomic fundamentals, focusing primarily on links among equity return volatilities, real growth, and real growth volatilities. Throughout, we strive not only to deepen our scientific understanding of market risk, but also cross-fertilize the academic and practitioner communities, promoting improved market risk measurement
and Applications
, 2014
"... The dissertation consists of four chapters that concern topics on copulas for high dimensions. Chapter 1 proposes a new general model for high dimension joint distri-butions of asset returns that utilizes high frequency data and copulas. The depen-dence between returns is decomposed into linear and ..."
Abstract
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The dissertation consists of four chapters that concern topics on copulas for high dimensions. Chapter 1 proposes a new general model for high dimension joint distri-butions of asset returns that utilizes high frequency data and copulas. The depen-dence between returns is decomposed into linear and nonlinear components, which enables the use of high frequency data to accurately measure and forecast linear dependence, and the use of a new class of copulas designed to capture nonlinear de-pendence among the resulting linearly uncorrelated residuals. Estimation of the new class of copulas is conducted using a composite likelihood, making the model feasible even for hundreds of variables. A realistic simulation study verifies that multistage estimation with composite likelihood results in small loss in efficiency and large gain in computation speed. Chapter 2, which is co-authored with Professor Andrew Patton, presents new models for the dependence structure, or copula, of economic variables based on a factor structure. The proposed models are particularly attractive for high dimen-