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The Speed Prior: A New Simplicity Measure Yielding NearOptimal Computable Predictions
 Proceedings of the 15th Annual Conference on Computational Learning Theory (COLT 2002), Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence
, 2002
"... Solomonoff's optimal but noncomputable method for inductive inference assumes that observation sequences x are drawn from an recursive prior distribution p(x). Instead of using the unknown p() he predicts using the celebrated universal enumerable prior M() which for all exceeds any recursiv ..."
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Cited by 51 (21 self)
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Solomonoff's optimal but noncomputable method for inductive inference assumes that observation sequences x are drawn from an recursive prior distribution p(x). Instead of using the unknown p() he predicts using the celebrated universal enumerable prior M() which for all exceeds any recursive p(), save for a constant factor independent of x. The simplicity measure M() naturally implements "Occam's razor " and is closely related to the Kolmogorov complexity of . However, M assigns high probability to certain data that are extremely hard to compute. This does not match our intuitive notion of simplicity. Here we suggest a more plausible measure derived from the fastest way of computing data. In absence of contrarian evidence, we assume that the physical world is generated by a computational process, and that any possibly infinite sequence of observations is therefore computable in the limit (this assumption is more radical and stronger than Solomonoff's).
Hierarchies Of Generalized Kolmogorov Complexities And Nonenumerable Universal Measures Computable In The Limit
 INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FOUNDATIONS OF COMPUTER SCIENCE
, 2000
"... The traditional theory of Kolmogorov complexity and algorithmic probability focuses on monotone Turing machines with oneway writeonly output tape. This naturally leads to the universal enumerable SolomonoLevin measure. Here we introduce more general, nonenumerable but cumulatively enumerable m ..."
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Cited by 40 (21 self)
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The traditional theory of Kolmogorov complexity and algorithmic probability focuses on monotone Turing machines with oneway writeonly output tape. This naturally leads to the universal enumerable SolomonoLevin measure. Here we introduce more general, nonenumerable but cumulatively enumerable measures (CEMs) derived from Turing machines with lexicographically nondecreasing output and random input, and even more general approximable measures and distributions computable in the limit. We obtain a natural hierarchy of generalizations of algorithmic probability and Kolmogorov complexity, suggesting that the "true" information content of some (possibly in nite) bitstring x is the size of the shortest nonhalting program that converges to x and nothing but x on a Turing machine that can edit its previous outputs. Among other things we show that there are objects computable in the limit yet more random than Chaitin's "number of wisdom" Omega, that any approximable measure of x is small for any x lacking a short description, that there is no universal approximable distribution, that there is a universal CEM, and that any nonenumerable CEM of x is small for any x lacking a short enumerating program. We briey mention consequences for universes sampled from such priors.
The New AI: General & Sound & Relevant for Physics
 ARTIFICIAL GENERAL INTELLIGENCE (ACCEPTED 2002)
, 2003
"... Most traditional artificial intelligence (AI) systems of the past 50 years are either very limited, or based on heuristics, or both. The new millennium, however, has brought substantial progress in the field of theoretically optimal and practically feasible algorithms for prediction, search, induct ..."
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Cited by 16 (9 self)
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Most traditional artificial intelligence (AI) systems of the past 50 years are either very limited, or based on heuristics, or both. The new millennium, however, has brought substantial progress in the field of theoretically optimal and practically feasible algorithms for prediction, search, inductive inference based on Occam’s razor, problem solving, decision making, and reinforcement learning in environments of a very general type. Since inductive inference is at the heart of all inductive sciences, some of the results are relevant not only for AI and computer science but also for physics, provoking nontraditional predictions based on Zuse’s thesis of the computergenerated universe.
Recent Progress in the Fields of Universal Learning Algorithms and Optimal Search
"... We briefly review recent results in the field of theoretically optimal algorithms for prediction, search, decision making, and reinforcement learning in environments of a very general type. The results may be relevant not only for computer science but also for physics. ..."
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We briefly review recent results in the field of theoretically optimal algorithms for prediction, search, decision making, and reinforcement learning in environments of a very general type. The results may be relevant not only for computer science but also for physics.