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Twentieth-century trends in runoff, evapotranspiration, and soil moisture in the western United States. (2007)

by A F Hamlet, P W Mote, M P Clark, D P Lettenmaier
Venue:J. Climate,
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Race and Authority

by Karin E. Peterson, Susan Pourciau, Min Du, Rachel Lacasse, Melissa Pathmajeyan, Karin E. Peterson, Susan Pourciau, Min Du, Rachel Lacasse, Melissa Pathmajeyan, David J. Poulsen, Kathy Wehrly, Bruce Chesebro - in Urban Politics: Community Participation and the War on Poverty , 1973
"... This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Biomedical and Pharmaceutical Sciences at ScholarWorks. It has been accepted for inclusion in Biomedical and Pharmaceutical Sciences Faculty Publications by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks. For more information, please contac ..."
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This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Biomedical and Pharmaceutical Sciences at ScholarWorks. It has been accepted for inclusion in Biomedical and Pharmaceutical Sciences Faculty Publications by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks. For more information, please contact
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...y, and evaporative losses (Hamletset al. 2007). Summer evapotranspiration became more dependent on summer rainfall, as soil water from melting snowpack became less available for use in summersmonths (=-=Hamlet et al. 2007-=-). 26 GENERAL TECHNICAL REPORT PNW-GTR-900 Soil Water Balance Summer water defi cits occur annually in most regions and vegetation types ofsthe Pacifi c Northwest, though the duration and intensity of...

Optimized Flood Control in the Columbia River Basin for a Global Warming Scenario

by Se-yeun Lee, Alan F. Hamlet, M. Asce Carolyn, J. Fitzgerald, Stephen J. Burges, F. Asce
"... Abstract: Anticipated future temperature changes in the mountainous U.S. Pacific Northwest will cause reduced spring snow pack, earlier melt, earlier spring peak flow and lower summer flow in transient rain-snow and snowmelt dominant river basins. In the context of managed flood control, these syste ..."
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Abstract: Anticipated future temperature changes in the mountainous U.S. Pacific Northwest will cause reduced spring snow pack, earlier melt, earlier spring peak flow and lower summer flow in transient rain-snow and snowmelt dominant river basins. In the context of managed flood control, these systematic changes are likely to disrupt the balance between flood control and reservoir refill in existing reservoir systems. To adapt to these hydrologic changes, refill timing and evacuation requirements for flood control need to be modified. This work poses a significant systems engineering problem, especially for large, multiobjective water systems. An existing optimization/ simulation procedure is refined for rebalancing flood control and refill objectives for the Columbia River Basin for anticipated global warming. To calibrate the optimization model for the 20th century flow, the objective function is tuned to reproduce the current reliability of reservoir refill, while providing comparable levels of flood control to those produced by current flood control practices. After the optimization model is calibrated using the 20th century flow the same objective function is used to develop flood control curves for a global warming scenario which assumes an approximately 2°C increase in air temperature. Robust decreases in system storage deficits are simulated for the climate change scenario when optimized flood rule curves replace the current flood control curves, without increasing monthly flood risks.

A new look at snowpack trends in the Cascades Mountains

by Mark T Stoelinga , Mark D Albright , Clifford F Mass , Mark T Stoelinga - J. Clim , 2010
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...thly ΔM), and results did not differ substantially, so the method adopted here should not be thought to depend critically on the hydrological model climatology. Rather, it suggests that, at least for the Cascade region considered, variability in precipitation and runoff are dominant over variability in ET and soil moisture in determining the variability in snowpack. It also lends confidence to our approach, which relies on good measurements of the important quantities (precipitation and runoff), and assumptions about the less important ones (ET and soil moisture). Additionally, the finding by Hamlet et al. (2007) that the timing of the ET and soil moisture annual cycles in the Pacific Northwest has not changed substantially since the early 20th century provides some assurance that our simple method is not missing an important ET/soil moisture-dependent contribution to climatic changes in the Cascades water balance. With monthly values of all of the terms in (4), and assuming the snowpack starts out at zero in each water year, (4) is integrated in monthly increments to obtain a value of SWE volume at the end of each month. The monthly values are then converted to percent of the 1961-1990 mean 1 April v...

Northern Hemisphere Modes of Variability and the Timing of Spring in Western North America

by Toby R. Ault, Alison, K. Macalady, Gregory T. Pederson, Julio L. Betancourt, Mark D. Schwartz - Journal of Climate
"... Spatial and temporal patterns of variability in spring onset are identified across western North America using a spring index (SI) model based on weather station minimum and maximum temperatures (Tmin and Tmax, respectively). Principal component analysis shows that two significant and independent pa ..."
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Spatial and temporal patterns of variability in spring onset are identified across western North America using a spring index (SI) model based on weather station minimum and maximum temperatures (Tmin and Tmax, respectively). Principal component analysis shows that two significant and independent patterns explain roughly half of the total variance in the timing of spring onset from 1920 to 2005. However, these patterns of spring onset do not appear to be linear responses to the primary modes of variability in the Northern Hemisphere: the Pacific–North American pattern (PNA) and the northern annular mode (NAM). Instead, over the period when reanalysis data and the spring index model overlap (1950–2005), the patterns of spring onset are local responses to the state of both the PNA and NAM, which together modulate the onset date of spring by 10–20 days on interannual time scales. They do so by controlling the number and intensity of warm days. There is also a regionwide trend in spring advancement of about21.5 days decade21 from 1950 to 2005. Trends in the NAM and PNA can only explain about one-third (20.5 day decade21) of this trend. 1.

PERMISSION TO USE

by Chris M. Debeer , 2012
"... In presenting this thesis in partial fulfilment of the requirements for a Postgraduate degree ..."
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In presenting this thesis in partial fulfilment of the requirements for a Postgraduate degree
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...untain hydrological regimes to climaticsvariability and found that these changes have already been occurring to some degree oversthe last several decades (e.g., Cayan et al., 2001; Mote et al., 2005; =-=Hamlet et al., 2007-=-;sMoore et al., 2007; Stewart et al., 2005; Barnett et al., 2008; Stewart, 2009).sFor these reasons there is increasing concern over the effects of ongoing andsfuture climate change in the mountain re...

Research Letter Is Climate Change a Possible Explanation for Woody Thickening in Arid and Semi-Arid Regions?

by Derek Eamus , Anthony R Palmer , 2007
"... Increased woody plant density (woody encroachment or woody thickening) is a globally observed phenomenon. Similarly, increased atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations and decreased pan evaporation rates are globally observed phenomena. In this paper, we propose that the former (increased woody pl ..."
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Increased woody plant density (woody encroachment or woody thickening) is a globally observed phenomenon. Similarly, increased atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations and decreased pan evaporation rates are globally observed phenomena. In this paper, we propose that the former (increased woody plant density) is a product of the latter. We propose that decreased stomatal conductance and increased rates of carbon fixation arising from an enriched atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration, in conjunction with reduced rates of pan evaporation, result in increased woody plant density. We suggest that this is analogous to the increased woody plant density that is observed along rainfall gradients that span arid to mesic environments. From this conceptual model, we make three predictions, namely, that (a) long-term trends in tree water-use-efficiency should reveal increased values; (b) run-off data should show an increase where woody thickening is occurring; (c) enriched CO 2 experiments should reveal an enhanced plant water status. These three predictions are discussed and shown to be supported by experimental data.
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... moisture Jornada LTER. Control transect. AT2. Depth = 1.3 m (b) 200620052004200320022001 Year 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 M O D IS LA I Mean MODIS LAI (8 day) Jornada, New Mexico, USA y = 0.0057x + 0.1732 R2 = 0.3737 (c) Figure 3: Trends in deep soil moisture at the Jornada LTER site. Access tube 1(AT1) is located in a playa which has low woody shrub cover, while the area around access tube 2 (AT2) is encroached by Prosopis glandulosa. Increased MODIS LAI was observed at sites where woody encroachment was occurring. 20th century in the Ukraine, Mongolia and the western USA, for example [36, 37]. While models of global warming predict summer soil desiccation, there is no evidence for this even in regions that have been warming over the past 50 years [35]. For arid and semiarid regions of the southern hemisphere, however, evidence of increases in soil moisture is limited. Elevated moisture levels across land-use gradients have been recorded in grassed deep sand-dunes of the southern Kalahari [38] and this has promoted the success of C3 shrubs and trees at these locations. Similarly in an encroached area at the Jornada LTER site in New Mexico, where soil moisture has been recorded mont...

Climate Change Effects and Adaptation Approaches in Marine and Coastal Ecosystems of the North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative Region

by unknown authors , 2011
"... This Phase I draft final report provides a first-ever compilation of what is known—and not known—about climate change effects on marine and coastal ecosystems in the geographic extent of the North Pacific ..."
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This Phase I draft final report provides a first-ever compilation of what is known—and not known—about climate change effects on marine and coastal ecosystems in the geographic extent of the North Pacific

Bioresource Technology 101 (2010) 2014–2025 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

by Bioresource Technology
"... journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/biortech The potential impacts of biomass feedstock production on water ..."
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journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/biortech The potential impacts of biomass feedstock production on water

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

by Forest Meteorology
"... journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/agrformet ..."
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journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/agrformet
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...onsistent with results from this study: average snow depth decrease of 56% in heated versus control plots. Previousworks have observed a shift toward earlier snowmelt timing by 2–3 weeks (Clow, 2010; =-=Hamlet et al., 2007-=-) and melt is estimated to continue shifting earlier by 1–2 months in the future (Adam et al., 2009; Rauscher et al., 2008; Stewart et al., 2004). The predicted earlier snowmelt in these studies is co...

Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate

by unknown authors
"... This prepublication version of Advancing the Science of Climate Change has been provided to the public to facilitate timely access to the report. Although the substance of the report is final, editorial changes may be made throughout the text and citations will be checked prior to publication. The f ..."
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This prepublication version of Advancing the Science of Climate Change has been provided to the public to facilitate timely access to the report. Although the substance of the report is final, editorial changes may be made throughout the text and citations will be checked prior to publication. The final report will be available through the National Academies Press by autumn 2010.
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...ored for extended periods in snowpack,swarmer winter temperatures are causing more precipitation to fall as rain than snow (Knowles etsal., 2006; Mote et al., 2005) and also causing earlier snowmelt (=-=Hamlet et al., 2007-=-; USGCRP,s2009a).sModel simulations under various scenarios indicate these patterns will intensify in thesfuture, reducing water resources for irrigation and other uses in the dry growing season (Hayh...

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