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210
The distribution of realized stock return volatility
, 2001
"... We examine "realized" daily equity return volatilities and correlations obtained from highfrequency intraday transaction prices on individual stocks in the Dow Jones ..."
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Cited by 245 (21 self)
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We examine "realized" daily equity return volatilities and correlations obtained from highfrequency intraday transaction prices on individual stocks in the Dow Jones
Econometric analysis of realised volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models
 Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B
, 2002
"... Number 71 ..."
The Dynamics of Stochastic Volatility: Evidence from Underlying and Option Markets
, 2000
"... This paper proposes and estimates a more general parametric stochastic variance model of equity index returns than has been previously considered using data from both underlying and options markets. The parameters of the model under both the objective and riskneutral measures are estimated simultane ..."
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Cited by 149 (3 self)
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This paper proposes and estimates a more general parametric stochastic variance model of equity index returns than has been previously considered using data from both underlying and options markets. The parameters of the model under both the objective and riskneutral measures are estimated simultaneously. I conclude that the square root stochastic variance model of Heston (1993) and others is incapable of generating realistic returns behavior and find that the data are more accurately represented by a stochastic variance model in the CEV class or a model that allows the price and variance processes to have a timevarying correlation. Specifically, I find that as the level of market variance increases, the volatility of market variance increases rapidly and the correlation between the price and variance processes becomes substantially more negative. The heightened heteroskedasticity in market variance that results generates realistic crash probabilities and dynamics and causes returns to display values of skewness and kurtosis much more consistent with their sample values. While the model dramatically improves the fit of options prices relative to the square root process, it falls short of explaining the implied volatility smile for shortdated options.
Empirical pricing kernels
, 2001
"... This paper investigates the empirical characteristics of investor risk aversion over equity return states by estimating a timevarying pricing kernel, which we call the empirical pricing kernel (EPK). We estimate the EPK on a monthly basis from 1991 to 1995, using S&P 500 index option data and a ..."
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Cited by 141 (6 self)
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This paper investigates the empirical characteristics of investor risk aversion over equity return states by estimating a timevarying pricing kernel, which we call the empirical pricing kernel (EPK). We estimate the EPK on a monthly basis from 1991 to 1995, using S&P 500 index option data and a stochastic volatility model for the S&P 500 return process. We find that the EPK exhibits countercyclical risk aversion over S&P 500 return states. We also find that hedging performance is significantly improved when we use hedge ratios based the EPK rather than a timeinvariant pricing kernel.
Expected Option Returns
 Journal of Finance
, 2001
"... This paper examines expected option returns in the context of mainstream asset pricing theory. Under mild assumptions, expected call returns exceed those of the underlying security and increase with the strike price. Likewise, expected put returns are below the riskfree rate and increase with the s ..."
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Cited by 139 (0 self)
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This paper examines expected option returns in the context of mainstream asset pricing theory. Under mild assumptions, expected call returns exceed those of the underlying security and increase with the strike price. Likewise, expected put returns are below the riskfree rate and increase with the strike price. S&P index option returns consistently exhibit these characteristics. Under stronger assumptions, expected option returns vary linearly with option betas. However, zerobeta, atthemoney straddle positions produce average losses of approximately three percent per week. This suggests that some additional factor, such as systematic stochastic volatility, is priced in option returns.
Stock Return Characteristics, Skew Laws, and the Differential Pricing of Individual Equity Options
, 2001
"... This article provides several new insights into the economic sources of skewness. First, we document the differential pricing of individual equity options versus the market index, and relate it to variations in return skewness. Second, we show how risk aversion introduces skewness in the riskneutra ..."
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Cited by 127 (10 self)
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This article provides several new insights into the economic sources of skewness. First, we document the differential pricing of individual equity options versus the market index, and relate it to variations in return skewness. Second, we show how risk aversion introduces skewness in the riskneutral density. Third, we derive laws that decompose individual return skewness into a systematic component and an idiosyncratic component. Empirical analysis of OEX options and 30 stocks demonstrates that individual riskneutral distributions differ from that of the market index by being far less negatively skewed. This paper explains the presence and evolution of riskneutral skewness over time and in the crosssection of individual stocks.
DeltaHedged Gains and the Negative Market Volatility Risk Premium
 The Review of Financial Studies
, 2001
"... We investigate whether the volatility risk premium is negative by examining the statistical properties of deltahedged option portfolios (buy the option and hedge with stock). Within a stochastic volatility framework, we demonstrate a correspondence between the sign and magnitude of the volatility r ..."
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Cited by 118 (5 self)
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We investigate whether the volatility risk premium is negative by examining the statistical properties of deltahedged option portfolios (buy the option and hedge with stock). Within a stochastic volatility framework, we demonstrate a correspondence between the sign and magnitude of the volatility risk premium and the mean deltahedged portfolio returns. Using a sample of S&P 500 index options, we provide empirical tests that have the following general results. First, the deltahedged strategy underperforms zero. Second, the documented underperformance is less for options away from the money. Third, the underperformance is greater at times of higher volatility.Fourth, the volatility risk premium significantly affects deltahedged gains even after accounting for jumpfears. Our evidence is supportive of a negative market volatility risk premium.
On the relationship between the conditional mean and volatility of stock returns: A latent VAR approach
, 2002
"... ..."
The Generalized Hyperbolic Model: Financial Derivatives and Risk Measures
 MATHEMATICAL FINANCE – BACHELIER CONGRESS 2000, GEMAN
, 1998
"... Statistical analysis of data from the nancial markets shows that generalized hyperbolic (GH) distributions allow a more realistic description of asset returns than the classical normal distribution. GH distributions contain as subclasses hyperbolic as well as normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) distributi ..."
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Cited by 84 (12 self)
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Statistical analysis of data from the nancial markets shows that generalized hyperbolic (GH) distributions allow a more realistic description of asset returns than the classical normal distribution. GH distributions contain as subclasses hyperbolic as well as normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) distributions which have recently been proposed as basic ingredients to model price processes. GH distributions generate in a canonical way Levy processes, i.e. processes with stationary and independent increments. We introduce a model for price processes which is driven by generalized hyperbolic Levy motions. This GH model is a generalization of the hyperbolic model developed by Eberlein and Keller (1995). It is incomplete. We derive an option pricing formula for GH driven models using the Esscher transform as martingale measure and compare the prices with classical BlackScholes prices. The objective of this study is to examine the consistency of our model assumptions with the empirically obser...