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169
A multifractal wavelet model with application to TCP network traffic
 IEEE TRANS. INFORM. THEORY
, 1999
"... In this paper, we develop a new multiscale modeling framework for characterizing positivevalued data with longrangedependent correlations (1=f noise). Using the Haar wavelet transform and a special multiplicative structure on the wavelet and scaling coefficients to ensure positive results, the mo ..."
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Cited by 193 (32 self)
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In this paper, we develop a new multiscale modeling framework for characterizing positivevalued data with longrangedependent correlations (1=f noise). Using the Haar wavelet transform and a special multiplicative structure on the wavelet and scaling coefficients to ensure positive results, the model provides a rapid O(N) cascade algorithm for synthesizing Npoint data sets. We study both the secondorder and multifractal properties of the model, the latter after a tutorial overview of multifractal analysis. We derive a scheme for matching the model to real data observations and, to demonstrate its effectiveness, apply the model to network traffic synthesis. The flexibility and accuracy of the model and fitting procedure result in a close fit to the real data statistics (variancetime plots and moment scaling) and queuing behavior. Although for illustrative purposes we focus on applications in network traffic modeling, the multifractal wavelet model could be useful in a number of other areas involving positive data, including image processing, finance, and geophysics.
Empirical properties of asset returns: stylized facts and statistical issues
 Quantitative Finance
, 2001
"... We present a set of stylized empirical facts emerging from the statistical analysis of price variations in various types of financial markets. We first discuss some general issues common to all statistical studies of financial time series. Various statistical properties of asset returns are then des ..."
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Cited by 188 (3 self)
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We present a set of stylized empirical facts emerging from the statistical analysis of price variations in various types of financial markets. We first discuss some general issues common to all statistical studies of financial time series. Various statistical properties of asset returns are then described: distributional properties, tail properties and extreme fluctuations, pathwise regularity, linear and nonlinear dependence of returns in time and across stocks. Our description emphasizes properties common to a wide variety of markets and instruments. We then show how these statistical properties invalidate many of the common statistical approaches used to study financial data sets and examine some of the statistical problems encountered in each case.
Estimating fractal dimension
 Journal of the Optical Society of America A
, 1990
"... Fractals arise from a variety of sources and have been observed in nature and on computer screens. One of the exceptional characteristics of fractals is that they can be described by a noninteger dimension. The geometry of fractals and the mathematics of fractal dimension have provided useful tools ..."
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Cited by 75 (3 self)
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Fractals arise from a variety of sources and have been observed in nature and on computer screens. One of the exceptional characteristics of fractals is that they can be described by a noninteger dimension. The geometry of fractals and the mathematics of fractal dimension have provided useful tools for a variety of scientific disciplines, among which is chaos. Chaotic dynamical systems exhibit trajectories in their phase space that converge to a strange attractor. The fractal dimension of this attractor counts the effective number of degrees of freedom in the dynamical system and thus quantifies its complexity. In recent years, numerical methods have been developed for estimating the dimension directly from the observed behavior of the physical system. The purpose of this paper is to survey briefly the kinds of fractals that appear in scientific research, to discuss the application of fractals to nonlinear dynamical systems, and finally to review more comprehensively the state of the art in numerical methods for estimating the fractal dimension of a strange attractor. Confusion is a word we have invented for an order which is not understood.Henry Miller, "Interlude," Tropic of Capricorn Numerical coincidence is a common path to intellectual perdition in our quest for meaning. We delight in catalogs of disparate items united by the same number, and often feel in our gut that some unity must underlie it all.
Multifractal Measures and a Weak Separation Condition
, 1999
"... We define a new separation property on the family of contractive similitudes that allows certain overlappings. This property is weaker than the open set condition of Hutchinson. It includes the wellknown class of infinite Bernoulli convolutions associated with the P.V. numbers and the solutions of ..."
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Cited by 39 (12 self)
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We define a new separation property on the family of contractive similitudes that allows certain overlappings. This property is weaker than the open set condition of Hutchinson. It includes the wellknown class of infinite Bernoulli convolutions associated with the P.V. numbers and the solutions of the twoscale dilation equations. Our main purpose in this paper is to prove the multifractal formalism under such condition.
Multifractality in Asset Returns: Theory and Evidence
 REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS
, 2001
"... This paper investigates the Multifractal Model of Asset Returns, a class of continuoustime processes that incorporate the thick tails and volatility persistence exhibited by many financial time series. The simplest version of the model compounds a Brownian Motion with a multifractal timedeformatio ..."
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Cited by 39 (6 self)
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This paper investigates the Multifractal Model of Asset Returns, a class of continuoustime processes that incorporate the thick tails and volatility persistence exhibited by many financial time series. The simplest version of the model compounds a Brownian Motion with a multifractal timedeformation process. Prices follow a semimartingale, which precludes arbitrage in a standard twoasset economy. Volatility has long memory, and the highest finite moments of returns can take any value greater than two. The local variability of the process is highly heterogeneous, and is usefully characterized by the local Hölder exponent at every instant. In contrast with earlier processes, this exponent takes a continuum of values in any time interval. The model also predicts that the moments of returns vary as a power law of the time horizon. We confirm this property for Deutsche Mark/U.S. Dollar exchange rates and several equity series. We then develop an estimator, and infer a parsimo...
Multifractal Processes
, 1999
"... This paper has two main objectives. First, it develops the multifractal formalism in a context suitable for both, measures and functions, deterministic as well as random, thereby emphasizing an intuitive approach. Second, it carefully discusses several examples, such as the binomial cascades and sel ..."
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Cited by 32 (6 self)
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This paper has two main objectives. First, it develops the multifractal formalism in a context suitable for both, measures and functions, deterministic as well as random, thereby emphasizing an intuitive approach. Second, it carefully discusses several examples, such as the binomial cascades and selfsimilar processes with a special eye on the use of wavelets. Particular attention is given to a novel class of multifractal processes which combine the attractive features of cascades and selfsimilar processes. Statistical properties of estimators as well as modelling issues are addressed.
LongRange Dependence and Data Network Traffic
, 2001
"... This is an overview of a relatively recent application of longrange dependence (LRD) to the area of communication networks, in particular to problems concerned with the dynamic nature of packet flows in highspeed data networks such as the Internet. We demonstrate that this new application area off ..."
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Cited by 29 (1 self)
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This is an overview of a relatively recent application of longrange dependence (LRD) to the area of communication networks, in particular to problems concerned with the dynamic nature of packet flows in highspeed data networks such as the Internet. We demonstrate that this new application area offers unique opportunities for significantly advancing our understanding of LRD and related phenomena. These advances are made possible by moving beyond the conventional approaches associated with the widespread "blackbox" perspective of traditional time series analysis and exploiting instead the physical mechanisms that exist in the networking context and that are intimately tied to the observed characteristics of measured network traffic. In order to describe this complexity we provide a basic understanding of the design, architecture and operations of data networks, including a description of the TCP/IP protocols used in today's Internet. LRD is observed in the large scale behavior of the data traffic and we provide a physical explanation for its presence. LRD tends to be caused by user and application characteristics and has little to do with the network itself. The network affects mostly small time scales, and this is why a rudimentary understanding of the main protocols is important. We illustrate why multifractals may be relevant for describing some aspects of the highly irregular traffic behavior over small time scales. We distinguish between a timedomain and waveletdomain approach to analyzing the small time scale dynamics and discuss why the waveletdomain approach appears to be better suited than the timedomain approach for identifying features in measured traffic (e.g., relatively regular traffic patterns over certain time scales) that have a direct networking interpretation (e....
A Multifractal Model of Asset Returns
, 1997
"... This paper presents the multifractal model of asset returns (“MMAR”), based upon ..."
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Cited by 27 (2 self)
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This paper presents the multifractal model of asset returns (“MMAR”), based upon
A multifractal analysis for SternBrocot intervals, continued fractions and Diophantine growth rates
, 2005
"... In this paper we obtain multifractal generalizations of classical results by Lévy and Khintchin in metrical Diophantine approximations and measure theory of continued fractions. We give a complete multifractal analysis for Stern–Brocot intervals, for continued fractions and for certain Diophantine ..."
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Cited by 25 (10 self)
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In this paper we obtain multifractal generalizations of classical results by Lévy and Khintchin in metrical Diophantine approximations and measure theory of continued fractions. We give a complete multifractal analysis for Stern–Brocot intervals, for continued fractions and for certain Diophantine growth rates. In particular, we give detailed discussions of two multifractal spectra closely related to the Farey map and the Gauss map.
Analog Computation with Dynamical Systems
 Physica D
, 1997
"... This paper presents a theory that enables to interpret natural processes as special purpose analog computers. Since physical systems are naturally described in continuous time, a definition of computational complexity for continuous time systems is required. In analogy with the classical discrete th ..."
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Cited by 22 (0 self)
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This paper presents a theory that enables to interpret natural processes as special purpose analog computers. Since physical systems are naturally described in continuous time, a definition of computational complexity for continuous time systems is required. In analogy with the classical discrete theory we develop fundamentals of computational complexity for dynamical systems, discrete or continuous in time, on the basis of an intrinsic time scale of the system. Dissipative dynamical systems are classified into the computational complexity classes P d , CoRP d , NP d