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Earnings surprises, growth expectations, and stock returns or don’t let an earnings torpedo sink your portfolio. Working Paper
, 1999
"... It is well established that the realized returns of ‘growth ’ stocks have been low relative to other stocks. We show that this phenomenon is explained by a large and asymmetric response to negative earnings surprises for growth stocks. After controlling for this effect, there is no longer evidence o ..."
Abstract
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It is well established that the realized returns of ‘growth ’ stocks have been low relative to other stocks. We show that this phenomenon is explained by a large and asymmetric response to negative earnings surprises for growth stocks. After controlling for this effect, there is no longer evidence of a stock return differential between growth stocks and other stocks. Our evidence is consistent with investors having naively optimistic expectations about the prospects of growth stocks (e.g., Lakonishok, Shleifer, and

